مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lyon v Celta Vigo

البداية: 2026-03-19 17:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lyon (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.26%2.26السعر العادل
EV -0.406%
الأفضلية -0.180%
Kelly -0.325%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.08%44.24%44.29%46.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.122.122.2550.00%47.19%47.17%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Celta Vigo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.87%3.72السعر العادل
EV +2.12%
الأفضلية +0.558%
Kelly +0.757%
النمو +0.016%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.25%26.92%26.82%28.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.533.503.8030.30%28.30%28.57%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.86%3.46السعر العادل
EV -0.714%
الأفضلية -0.208%
Kelly -0.293%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.33%28.84%28.89%29.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.253.253.4432.26%30.76%30.77%29.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -6.16%E -2.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV +2.12%E +0.558%K +0.757%G +0.016%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -3.31%E -0.988%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 17:30
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -6.16%E -2.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV +2.12%E +0.558%K +0.757%G +0.016%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -3.31%E -0.988%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -6.16%E -2.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV +2.12%E +0.558%K +0.757%G +0.016%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -3.31%E -0.988%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.45%EV -6.16%E -2.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV +2.12%E +0.558%K +0.757%G +0.016%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 17:29
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.95%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV +0.776%E +0.207%K +0.282%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.28%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-19 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.95%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV +0.776%E +0.207%K +0.282%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.28%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.29%EV -6.16%E -2.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV +0.776%E +0.207%K +0.282%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 17:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -3.31%E -0.988%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:29
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:29
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:30
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:29
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:30
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.60%EV -3.95%E -1.82%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.51%EV -1.91%E -0.524%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -3.31%E -0.988%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 17:40
ReBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.32%EV -3.95%E -1.82%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -3.25%E -0.904%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.97%EV -4.18%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 17:19
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.47%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -3.25%E -0.904%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 17:19
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.25%E -0.904%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.25%E -0.904%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.25%E -0.904%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:30
Suprabets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.75%EV -3.95%E -1.82%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.59%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:38
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:19
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.50%EV -3.95%E -1.82%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.07%EV -0.714%E -0.208%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 17:39
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.82%EV -0.406%E -0.180%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.82%EV -0.406%E -0.180%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 17:39
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:38
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 17:00
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:00
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:00
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:00
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:29
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 17:28
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.47%E -5.74%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-19 17:29
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.47%E -5.74%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-19 17:30
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:40
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -1.87%E -0.550%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:19
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 17:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 17:39
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-19 17:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 17:39
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 17:39
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 17:39
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 17:39
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 17:40
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-19 17:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.69%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-03-19 17:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%1.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-19 17:40