Oddsskolan

Lille v Aston Villa

Matchstart: 2026-03-12 17:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Lille (Hemma)

Prognos 28.87%3.46rättvist odds
EV +3.07%
Fördel +0.860%
Kelly +1.20%
Tillväxt +0.037%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.57

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.13%28.94%28.84%32.41%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.903.243.253.5734.48%30.86%30.77%28.01%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Aston Villa (Borta)

Prognos 41.81%2.39rättvist odds
EV +1.60%
Fördel +0.658%
Kelly +1.12%
Tillväxt +0.018%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.43

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.68%41.75%41.85%43.43%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.152.272.252.4346.51%44.13%44.44%41.15%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.32%3.41rättvist odds
EV -1.78%
Fördel -0.532%
Kelly -0.759%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.36%29.31%29.31%30.15%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.103.223.253.3532.26%31.05%30.77%29.85%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet3.57I 28.01%NM 27.13%EV +3.07%E +0.860%K +1.20%G +0.037%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.43%EV -6.76%E -3.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.44%EV -3.54%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 17:40
Marathon Bet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.73%EV -2.41%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.03%EV -3.42%E -1.48%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.24%EV -2.66%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Pinnacle3.38I 29.59%NM 28.65%EV -2.41%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.92%EV -3.42%E -1.48%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.43%EV -3.54%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 17:40
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.61%EV -1.75%E -0.743%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -1.78%E -0.532%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 17:05
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.61%EV -1.75%E -0.743%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -1.78%E -0.532%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 17:05
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.61%EV -1.75%E -0.743%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -1.78%E -0.532%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 17:05
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.64%EV -2.58%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 17:05
Parions Sport (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.49%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 17:35
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.50%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.01%EV -6.77%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 17:25
LowVig.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 29.12%EV -4.15%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -1.78%E -0.532%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 17:25
BetOnline.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 29.12%EV -4.15%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -1.78%E -0.532%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 17:25
ReBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.94%EV -4.15%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.59%EV -3.42%E -1.48%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.47%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 16:50
Suprabets3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.97%EV -5.51%E -2.44%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.37%EV -5.30%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:31
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 17:25
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 17:30
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.38%EV -3.00%E -1.29%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 13:35
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 12:19
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.50%EV -4.26%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 08:00
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 07:59
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 10:45
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 08:19
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:40
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:40
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.67%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.67%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:05
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.67%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:05
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.67%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:05
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.67%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:05
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 17:05
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 17:05
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 17:05
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 17:40
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:35
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:35
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.18%E -3.24%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 17:40
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 06:45
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 08:00
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:35
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:35
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 17:40
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.11%E -4.70%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 09:35
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 17:40
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 08:00
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -8.85%E -4.06%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 17:05
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -8.85%E -4.06%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 17:05
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 12:35
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 12:35
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 12:35
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 17:20
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:35
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 17:35
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -11.94%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -1.75%E -0.743%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 04:59
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.27%E -5.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV +1.60%E +0.658%K +1.12%G +0.018%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%0.1%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-12 17:35
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%3.0%2026-03-12 16:55