Szkoła Kursów

Lille v Aston Villa

Początek: 2026-03-12 17:45 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

58 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Lille (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 28.87%3.46kurs godziwy
EV +3.07%
Przewaga +0.860%
Kelly +1.20%
Wzrost +0.037%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.57

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.13%28.94%28.84%32.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.243.253.5734.48%30.86%30.77%28.01%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Aston Villa (Goście)

Prognoza 41.81%2.39kurs godziwy
EV +1.60%
Przewaga +0.658%
Kelly +1.12%
Wzrost +0.018%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.43

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.68%41.75%41.85%43.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.272.252.4346.51%44.13%44.44%41.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.32%3.41kurs godziwy
EV -1.78%
Przewaga -0.532%
Kelly -0.759%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.35

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.36%29.31%29.31%30.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.223.253.3532.26%31.05%30.77%29.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet3.57I 28.01%NM 27.13%EV +3.07%E +0.860%K +1.20%G +0.037%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.43%EV -6.76%E -3.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.44%EV -3.54%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 17:40
Marathon Bet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.73%EV -2.41%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.03%EV -3.42%E -1.48%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.24%EV -2.66%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Pinnacle3.38I 29.59%NM 28.65%EV -2.41%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.92%EV -3.42%E -1.48%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.43%EV -3.54%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 17:40
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.61%EV -1.75%E -0.743%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -1.78%E -0.532%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 17:05
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.61%EV -1.75%E -0.743%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -1.78%E -0.532%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 17:05
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.61%EV -1.75%E -0.743%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -1.78%E -0.532%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 17:05
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.64%EV -2.58%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 17:05
Parions Sport (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.49%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 17:35
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.50%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.01%EV -6.77%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 17:25
LowVig.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 29.12%EV -4.15%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -1.78%E -0.532%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 17:25
BetOnline.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 29.12%EV -4.15%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -1.78%E -0.532%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 17:25
ReBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.94%EV -4.15%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.59%EV -3.42%E -1.48%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.47%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 16:50
Suprabets3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.97%EV -5.51%E -2.44%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.37%EV -5.30%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:31
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 17:25
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 17:30
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.38%EV -3.00%E -1.29%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 13:35
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 12:19
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.50%EV -4.26%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 08:00
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 07:59
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 10:45
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 08:19
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:40
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:40
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.67%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.67%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:05
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.67%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:05
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.67%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:05
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.67%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:05
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 17:05
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 17:05
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 17:05
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 17:40
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:35
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:35
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.18%E -3.24%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 17:40
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 06:45
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 08:00
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:35
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:35
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 17:40
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.11%E -4.70%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 09:35
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 17:40
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 08:00
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -8.85%E -4.06%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 17:05
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -8.85%E -4.06%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 17:05
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 12:35
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 12:35
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 12:35
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 17:20
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:35
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 17:35
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -11.94%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -1.75%E -0.743%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 04:59
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.27%E -5.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV +1.60%E +0.658%K +1.12%G +0.018%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:39
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%0.1%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-12 17:35
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%3.0%2026-03-12 16:55