Школа коэффициентов

Lille v Aston Villa

Начало: 2026-03-12 17:45 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Lille (Хозяева)

Прогноз 28.87%3.46справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.07%
Преимущество +0.860%
Kelly +1.20%
Рост +0.037%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.57

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.13%28.94%28.84%32.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.243.253.5734.48%30.86%30.77%28.01%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Aston Villa (Гости)

Прогноз 41.81%2.39справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.60%
Преимущество +0.658%
Kelly +1.12%
Рост +0.018%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.43

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.68%41.75%41.85%43.43%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.152.272.252.4346.51%44.13%44.44%41.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.32%3.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.78%
Преимущество -0.532%
Kelly -0.759%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.36%29.31%29.31%30.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.223.253.3532.26%31.05%30.77%29.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet3.57I 28.01%NM 27.13%EV +3.07%E +0.860%K +1.20%G +0.037%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.43%EV -6.76%E -3.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.44%EV -3.54%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 17:40
Marathon Bet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.73%EV -2.41%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.03%EV -3.42%E -1.48%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.24%EV -2.66%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Pinnacle3.38I 29.59%NM 28.65%EV -2.41%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.92%EV -3.42%E -1.48%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.43%EV -3.54%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 17:40
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.61%EV -1.75%E -0.743%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -1.78%E -0.532%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 17:05
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.61%EV -1.75%E -0.743%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -1.78%E -0.532%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 17:05
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.61%EV -1.75%E -0.743%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -1.78%E -0.532%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 17:05
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.64%EV -2.58%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 17:05
Parions Sport (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.49%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 17:35
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -3.28%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.50%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.01%EV -6.77%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 17:25
LowVig.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 29.12%EV -4.15%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -1.78%E -0.532%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 17:25
BetOnline.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 29.12%EV -4.15%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -1.78%E -0.532%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 17:25
ReBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.94%EV -4.15%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.59%EV -3.42%E -1.48%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.47%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 16:50
Suprabets3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.97%EV -5.51%E -2.44%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.37%EV -5.30%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:31
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 17:25
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 17:30
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.38%EV -3.00%E -1.29%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 13:35
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 12:19
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.50%EV -4.26%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 08:00
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 07:59
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 10:45
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 08:19
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:40
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:40
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.67%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.67%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:05
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.67%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:05
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.67%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:05
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.67%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:05
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 17:05
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 17:05
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 17:05
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 17:40
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:35
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:35
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.18%E -3.24%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 17:40
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 06:45
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 08:00
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:35
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:35
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 17:40
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.11%E -4.70%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 09:35
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 17:40
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 08:00
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -8.85%E -4.06%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 17:05
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -8.85%E -4.06%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 17:05
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 12:35
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.25%E -0.985%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 12:35
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 12:35
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -3.84%E -1.67%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 17:20
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.93%E -2.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:35
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 17:35
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.02%E -3.64%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -11.94%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -1.75%E -0.743%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 04:59
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -16.27%E -5.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV +1.60%E +0.658%K +1.12%G +0.018%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:39
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%0.1%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-12 17:35
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%3.0%2026-03-12 16:55