The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Samsunspor v KF Shkëndija

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsunspor (Local)

Prediction 72.64%1.38fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -10.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.38%72.42%72.70%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.72%77.22%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KF Shkëndija (Visit)

Prediction 9.72%10.29fair odd
EV +21.53%
Edge +1.72%
Kelly +1.87%
Growth +0.403%

assuming max odds 12.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.64%9.74%9.54%11.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.259.829.6312.5012.12%10.18%10.39%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.64%5.67fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.248%
Kelly +0.301%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.60%17.84%17.76%19.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.195.225.7521.74%19.26%19.14%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsunspor (Local): 72.64%; KF Shkëndija (Visit): 9.72%; Draw: 17.64%. For KF Shkëndija (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.29. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.76%EV -8.48%E -6.73%K -32.60%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV +21.53%E +1.72%K +1.87%G +0.403%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +1.43%E +0.248%K +0.301%G +0.004%4.8%2026-02-26 17:40
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +16.67%E +1.39%K +1.52%G +0.253%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -1.22%E -0.218%K -0.265%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.07%EV -11.38%E -9.33%K -51.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.96%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.12%G +0.133%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -4.75%E -0.879%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.07%EV -11.38%E -9.33%K -51.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.96%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.12%G +0.133%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -4.75%E -0.879%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.64%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%11.09I 9.02%NM 8.63%EV +7.82%E +0.705%K +0.775%G +0.061%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV -4.75%E -0.879%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 17:35
Suprabets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.68%EV -4.84%E -3.70%K -15.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.67%EV -10.04%E -1.97%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 17:37
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -11.80%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 17:20
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.65%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.95%EV +4.03%E +0.377%K +0.416%G +0.017%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.41%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 14:30
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 17:33
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.80%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.82%EV -0.336%E -0.059%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.82%EV -0.336%E -0.059%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.06%EV -3.39%E -2.55%K -10.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.45%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -14.45%E -2.98%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.77%EV -7.02%E -5.49%K -25.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -8.27%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:35
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.52%EV -4.72%E -0.481%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -17.09%E -3.64%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.52%EV -4.72%E -0.481%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -17.09%E -3.64%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.22%EV -7.02%E -5.49%K -25.08%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -5.20%E -0.534%K -0.595%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.30%EV -10.92%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-26 17:34
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -7.64%E -0.804%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 16:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -8.48%E -6.73%K -32.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -7.64%E -0.804%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-26 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.33%EV -11.38%E -9.33%K -51.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.29%EV -7.64%E -0.804%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-26 17:35
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.46%EV -8.48%E -6.73%K -32.60%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 9.82%EV -9.58%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.73%EV -9.16%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 17:35
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.53%EV -4.84%E -3.70%K -15.63%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.38%EV -11.04%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.09%EV -1.92%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 17:35
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.96%EV -3.39%E -2.55%K -10.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -3.39%E -2.55%K -10.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 14:50
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 17:40
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 17:20
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.89%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.85%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -18.86%E -4.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-26 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.48%EV -13.47%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:26
NetBet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.75%E -6.10%K -28.70%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.48%EV -14.93%E -1.71%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -6.51%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 17:40
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -17.36%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -8.27%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -17.36%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -8.27%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.38%EV -4.84%E -3.70%K -15.63%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.18%EV -19.79%E -2.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.80%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.0%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.0%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.40%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36%1.1%2026-02-26 17:40