La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Samsunspor v KF Shkëndija
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Samsunspor (Local)
Predicción 72.64%1.38momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -2.55%
Kelly -10.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.38%72.42%72.70%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.72%77.22%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
KF Shkëndija (Visitante)
Predicción 9.72%10.29momio equitativo
EV +21.53%
Ventaja +1.72%
Kelly +1.87%
Crecimiento +0.403%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.64%9.74%9.54%11.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.259.829.6312.5012.12%10.18%10.39%8.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.64%5.67momio equitativo
EV +1.43%
Ventaja +0.248%
Kelly +0.301%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.60%17.84%17.76%19.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.195.225.7521.74%19.26%19.14%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.76%EV -8.48%E -6.73%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV +21.53%E +1.72%K +1.87%G +0.403% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +1.43%E +0.248%K +0.301%G +0.004% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +16.67%E +1.39%K +1.52%G +0.253% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -1.22%E -0.218%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.07%EV -11.38%E -9.33%K -51.74%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.96%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.12%G +0.133% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -4.75%E -0.879%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.07%EV -11.38%E -9.33%K -51.74%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.96%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.12%G +0.133% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -4.75%E -0.879%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.64%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 11.09I 9.02%NM 8.63%EV +7.82%E +0.705%K +0.775%G +0.061% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV -4.75%E -0.879%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| Suprabets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.68%EV -4.84%E -3.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.67%EV -10.04%E -1.97%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 17:37 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -11.80%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 17:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.65%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 8.95%EV +4.03%E +0.377%K +0.416%G +0.017% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.41%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 14:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 17:33 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.80%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-26 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.82%EV -0.336%E -0.059%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.82%EV -0.336%E -0.059%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 12:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.06%EV -3.39%E -2.55%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.45%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -14.45%E -2.98%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.77%EV -7.02%E -5.49%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -8.27%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.52%EV -4.72%E -0.481%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -17.09%E -3.64%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.52%EV -4.72%E -0.481%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -17.09%E -3.64%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Bovada | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.22%EV -7.02%E -5.49%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -5.20%E -0.534%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.30%EV -10.92%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 17:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -7.64%E -0.804%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 16:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -8.48%E -6.73%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -7.64%E -0.804%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.33%EV -11.38%E -9.33%K -51.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.29%EV -7.64%E -0.804%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| Fliff | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.46%EV -8.48%E -6.73%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 9.82%EV -9.58%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.73%EV -9.16%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.53%EV -4.84%E -3.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.38%EV -11.04%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.09%EV -1.92%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.96%EV -3.39%E -2.55%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -3.39%E -2.55%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 14:50 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-26 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-26 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-26 17:20 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.89%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.85%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -18.86%E -4.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.48%EV -13.47%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 17:26 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.75%E -6.10%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.48%EV -14.93%E -1.71%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -6.51%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Neds | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -17.36%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -8.27%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -17.36%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -8.27%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.38%EV -4.84%E -3.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.18%EV -19.79%E -2.40%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.80%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 14:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 1.0% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 1.0% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.40% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36% | 1.1% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |