Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Samsunspor v KF Shkëndija

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Samsunspor (Local)

Prévision 72.64%1.38cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -2.55%
Kelly -10.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.38%72.42%72.70%75.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.72%77.22%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

KF Shkëndija (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.72%10.29cote équitable
EV +21.53%
Avantage +1.72%
Kelly +1.87%
Croissance +0.403%

avec la cote maximale 12.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.64%9.74%9.54%11.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.259.829.6312.5012.12%10.18%10.39%8.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 17.64%5.67cote équitable
EV +1.43%
Avantage +0.248%
Kelly +0.301%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.60%17.84%17.76%19.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.195.225.7521.74%19.26%19.14%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Samsunspor (Local) : 72.64% ; KF Shkëndija (Visiteur) : 9.72% ; Match nul : 17.64%. Pour KF Shkëndija (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.29. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 12.50, soit une espérance positive de +21.53%.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.76%EV -8.48%E -6.73%K -32.60%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV +21.53%E +1.72%K +1.87%G +0.403%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +1.43%E +0.248%K +0.301%G +0.004%4.8%2026-02-26 17:40
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +16.67%E +1.39%K +1.52%G +0.253%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -1.22%E -0.218%K -0.265%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.07%EV -11.38%E -9.33%K -51.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.96%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.12%G +0.133%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -4.75%E -0.879%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.07%EV -11.38%E -9.33%K -51.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.96%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.12%G +0.133%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -4.75%E -0.879%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.64%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%11.09I 9.02%NM 8.63%EV +7.82%E +0.705%K +0.775%G +0.061%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV -4.75%E -0.879%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 17:35
Suprabets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.68%EV -4.84%E -3.70%K -15.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.67%EV -10.04%E -1.97%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 17:37
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -11.80%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 17:20
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.65%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.95%EV +4.03%E +0.377%K +0.416%G +0.017%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.41%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 14:30
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 17:33
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.80%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.82%EV -0.336%E -0.059%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.82%EV -0.336%E -0.059%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.06%EV -3.39%E -2.55%K -10.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.45%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -14.45%E -2.98%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.77%EV -7.02%E -5.49%K -25.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -8.27%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:35
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.52%EV -4.72%E -0.481%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -17.09%E -3.64%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.52%EV -4.72%E -0.481%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -17.09%E -3.64%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.22%EV -7.02%E -5.49%K -25.08%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -5.20%E -0.534%K -0.595%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.30%EV -10.92%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-26 17:34
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -7.64%E -0.804%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 16:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -8.48%E -6.73%K -32.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -7.64%E -0.804%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-26 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.33%EV -11.38%E -9.33%K -51.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.29%EV -7.64%E -0.804%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-26 17:35
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.46%EV -8.48%E -6.73%K -32.60%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 9.82%EV -9.58%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.73%EV -9.16%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 17:35
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.53%EV -4.84%E -3.70%K -15.63%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.38%EV -11.04%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.09%EV -1.92%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 17:35
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.96%EV -3.39%E -2.55%K -10.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -3.39%E -2.55%K -10.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 14:50
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 17:40
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 17:20
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.89%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.85%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -18.86%E -4.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-26 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.48%EV -13.47%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:26
NetBet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.75%E -6.10%K -28.70%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.48%EV -14.93%E -1.71%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -6.51%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 17:40
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -17.36%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -8.27%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -17.36%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -8.27%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.38%EV -4.84%E -3.70%K -15.63%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.18%EV -19.79%E -2.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.80%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.0%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.0%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.40%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36%1.1%2026-02-26 17:40