StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Samsunspor v KF Shkëndija

Matchstart: 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

36 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Samsunspor (Hemma)

Prognos 72.64%1.38rättvist odds
EV -3.39%
Fördel -2.55%
Kelly -10.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
70.38%72.42%72.70%75.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.72%77.22%75.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

KF Shkëndija (Borta)

Prognos 9.72%10.29rättvist odds
EV +21.53%
Fördel +1.72%
Kelly +1.87%
Tillväxt +0.403%

med antagandet om högsta odds 12.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.64%9.74%9.54%11.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
8.259.829.6312.5012.12%10.18%10.39%8.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 17.64%5.67rättvist odds
EV +1.43%
Fördel +0.248%
Kelly +0.301%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.60%17.84%17.76%19.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.605.195.225.7521.74%19.26%19.14%17.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Samsunspor (Hemma): 72.64%; KF Shkëndija (Borta): 9.72%; Oavgjort: 17.64%. För KF Shkëndija (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 10.29. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 12.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +21.53%.

Spelbolagsodds (36 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.76%EV -8.48%E -6.73%K -32.60%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV +21.53%E +1.72%K +1.87%G +0.403%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +1.43%E +0.248%K +0.301%G +0.004%4.8%2026-02-26 17:40
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +16.67%E +1.39%K +1.52%G +0.253%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -1.22%E -0.218%K -0.265%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.07%EV -11.38%E -9.33%K -51.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.96%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.12%G +0.133%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -4.75%E -0.879%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.07%EV -11.38%E -9.33%K -51.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.96%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.12%G +0.133%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -4.75%E -0.879%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.64%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%11.09I 9.02%NM 8.63%EV +7.82%E +0.705%K +0.775%G +0.061%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV -4.75%E -0.879%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 17:35
Suprabets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.68%EV -4.84%E -3.70%K -15.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.67%EV -10.04%E -1.97%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 17:37
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -11.80%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 17:20
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.65%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.95%EV +4.03%E +0.377%K +0.416%G +0.017%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.41%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 14:30
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 17:33
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.80%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.82%EV -0.336%E -0.059%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.82%EV -0.336%E -0.059%K -0.072%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.06%EV -3.39%E -2.55%K -10.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.45%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -14.45%E -2.98%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.77%EV -7.02%E -5.49%K -25.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -8.27%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:35
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.52%EV -4.72%E -0.481%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -17.09%E -3.64%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.52%EV -4.72%E -0.481%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -17.09%E -3.64%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.22%EV -7.02%E -5.49%K -25.08%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -5.20%E -0.534%K -0.595%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.30%EV -10.92%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-26 17:34
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -7.64%E -0.804%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 16:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -8.48%E -6.73%K -32.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -7.64%E -0.804%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-26 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.33%EV -11.38%E -9.33%K -51.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.29%EV -7.64%E -0.804%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-26 17:35
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.46%EV -8.48%E -6.73%K -32.60%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 9.82%EV -9.58%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.73%EV -9.16%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 17:35
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.53%EV -4.84%E -3.70%K -15.63%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.38%EV -11.04%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.09%EV -1.92%E -0.346%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 17:35
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.96%EV -3.39%E -2.55%K -10.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -2.98%E -0.542%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -3.39%E -2.55%K -10.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 14:50
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -6.30%E -4.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 17:40
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 17:20
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -15.33%E -3.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.89%EV -9.20%E -7.36%K -36.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.85%EV -12.50%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -18.86%E -4.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-26 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -5.57%E -4.29%K -18.57%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.48%EV -13.47%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.39%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:26
NetBet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.75%E -6.10%K -28.70%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.48%EV -14.93%E -1.71%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -6.51%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 17:40
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -17.36%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -8.27%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -4.12%E -3.12%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -17.36%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -8.27%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.38%EV -4.84%E -3.70%K -15.63%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.18%EV -19.79%E -2.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.80%E -2.36%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 14:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.0%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.41%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.0%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.40%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36%1.1%2026-02-26 17:40