La scuola delle quote

NK Celje v FC Drita

Inizio: 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

NK Celje (Casa)

Previsione 66.84%1.50quota equa
EV -2.41%
Vantaggio -1.65%
Kelly -5.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.10%66.71%66.97%69.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.341.401.401.4674.63%71.41%71.43%68.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Drita (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.44%7.44quota equa
EV +7.55%
Vantaggio +0.944%
Kelly +1.08%
Crescita +0.081%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.98%13.53%13.47%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.917.008.0016.67%14.47%14.29%12.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.71%5.07quota equa
EV +1.52%
Vantaggio +0.296%
Kelly +0.367%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.17%19.76%19.56%21.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.334.694.755.1523.09%21.32%21.05%19.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.42%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.98%EV +7.55%E +0.944%K +1.08%G +0.081%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.60%EV +1.52%E +0.296%K +0.367%G +0.006%4.4%2026-02-26 17:25
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 67.79%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.91I 12.64%NM 12.08%EV +6.34%E +0.801%K +0.917%G +0.058%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 17:35
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.01%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.36%EV +3.52%E +0.457%K +0.525%G +0.018%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.63%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.01%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.36%EV +3.52%E +0.457%K +0.525%G +0.018%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.63%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 17:30
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.76%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV -3.41%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 17:40
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -3.41%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 17:40
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.14%EV -10.43%E -7.78%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.69%EV -1.86%E -0.255%K -0.295%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV +0.537%E +0.105%K +0.131%G +0.001%7.9%2026-02-26 17:40
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 66.65%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.349%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.67%EV -12.28%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 17:38
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 17:15
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:25
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:26
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:25
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:25
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 17:38
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:35
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.45%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -9.26%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.86%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:40
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -9.26%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:40
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.53%EV -10.43%E -7.78%K -30.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -9.26%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-26 17:35
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 66.71%EV -8.42%E -6.15%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.64%EV -9.93%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.65%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 17:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 17:40
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -3.08%E -2.12%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 17:40
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.359%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 17:35
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-26 17:35
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -13.96%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -12.28%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:40
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -13.96%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -12.28%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -4.41%E -3.09%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -14.63%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:40
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.13%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -15.57%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.73%EV -4.98%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -15.98%E -2.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -15.98%E -2.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -19.34%E -3.22%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:40
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -4.41%E -3.09%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -19.34%E -3.22%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 17:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.67%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.8%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.87%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-02-26 17:40