مدرسة الاحتمالات

NK Celje v FC Drita

البداية: 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

37 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

NK Celje (المضيف)

التنبؤ 66.84%1.50السعر العادل
EV -2.41%
الأفضلية -1.65%
Kelly -5.24%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.10%66.71%66.97%69.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.341.401.401.4674.63%71.41%71.43%68.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Drita (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.44%7.44السعر العادل
EV +7.55%
الأفضلية +0.944%
Kelly +1.08%
النمو +0.081%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.98%13.53%13.47%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.006.917.008.0016.67%14.47%14.29%12.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 19.71%5.07السعر العادل
EV +1.52%
الأفضلية +0.296%
Kelly +0.367%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.17%19.76%19.56%21.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.334.694.755.1523.09%21.32%21.05%19.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (37 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.42%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.98%EV +7.55%E +0.944%K +1.08%G +0.081%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.60%EV +1.52%E +0.296%K +0.367%G +0.006%4.4%2026-02-26 17:25
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 67.79%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.91I 12.64%NM 12.08%EV +6.34%E +0.801%K +0.917%G +0.058%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 17:35
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.01%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.36%EV +3.52%E +0.457%K +0.525%G +0.018%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.63%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.01%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.36%EV +3.52%E +0.457%K +0.525%G +0.018%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.63%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 17:30
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.76%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV -3.41%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 17:40
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -3.41%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 17:40
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.14%EV -10.43%E -7.78%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.69%EV -1.86%E -0.255%K -0.295%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV +0.537%E +0.105%K +0.131%G +0.001%7.9%2026-02-26 17:40
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 66.65%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.349%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.67%EV -12.28%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 17:38
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 17:15
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:25
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:26
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:25
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:25
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 17:38
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:35
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.45%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -9.26%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.86%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:40
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -9.26%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:40
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.53%EV -10.43%E -7.78%K -30.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -9.26%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-26 17:35
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 66.71%EV -8.42%E -6.15%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.64%EV -9.93%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.65%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 17:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 17:40
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -3.08%E -2.12%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 17:40
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.359%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 17:35
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-26 17:35
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -13.96%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -12.28%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:40
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -13.96%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -12.28%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -4.41%E -3.09%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -14.63%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:40
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.13%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -15.57%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.73%EV -4.98%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -15.98%E -2.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -15.98%E -2.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -19.34%E -3.22%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:40
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -4.41%E -3.09%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -19.34%E -3.22%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 17:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (3)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.67%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.8%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.87%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-02-26 17:40