L’École des cotes

NK Celje v FC Drita

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

NK Celje (Local)

Prévision 66.84%1.50cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -5.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.10%66.71%66.97%69.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.401.401.4674.63%71.41%71.43%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Drita (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.44%7.44cote équitable
EV +7.55%
Avantage +0.944%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.081%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.98%13.53%13.47%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.917.008.0016.67%14.47%14.29%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.71%5.07cote équitable
EV +1.52%
Avantage +0.296%
Kelly +0.367%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 5.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.17%19.76%19.56%21.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.694.755.1523.09%21.32%21.05%19.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.42%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.98%EV +7.55%E +0.944%K +1.08%G +0.081%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.60%EV +1.52%E +0.296%K +0.367%G +0.006%4.4%2026-02-26 17:25
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 67.79%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.91I 12.64%NM 12.08%EV +6.34%E +0.801%K +0.917%G +0.058%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 17:35
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.01%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.36%EV +3.52%E +0.457%K +0.525%G +0.018%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.63%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.01%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.36%EV +3.52%E +0.457%K +0.525%G +0.018%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.63%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 17:30
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.76%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV -3.41%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 17:40
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -3.41%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 17:40
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.14%EV -10.43%E -7.78%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.69%EV -1.86%E -0.255%K -0.295%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV +0.537%E +0.105%K +0.131%G +0.001%7.9%2026-02-26 17:40
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 66.65%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.349%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.67%EV -12.28%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 17:38
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 17:15
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:25
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:26
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:25
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:25
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 17:38
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:35
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.45%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -9.26%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.86%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:40
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -9.26%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 17:40
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.53%EV -10.43%E -7.78%K -30.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -9.26%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-26 17:35
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 66.71%EV -8.42%E -6.15%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.64%EV -9.93%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.65%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 17:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 17:40
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -3.08%E -2.12%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 17:40
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.359%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 17:35
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-26 17:35
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -13.96%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -12.28%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:40
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -13.96%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -12.28%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -4.41%E -3.09%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -14.63%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:40
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.13%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -15.57%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.73%EV -4.98%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -15.98%E -2.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -15.98%E -2.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -19.34%E -3.22%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:40
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -4.41%E -3.09%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -19.34%E -3.22%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 17:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.67%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.8%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.87%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-02-26 17:40