La escuela de los momiosEspañol
NK Celje v FC Drita
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
NK Celje (Local)
Predicción 66.84%1.50momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -5.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.10%66.71%66.97%69.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.401.401.4674.63%71.41%71.43%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Drita (Visitante)
Predicción 13.44%7.44momio equitativo
EV +7.55%
Ventaja +0.944%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.081%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.98%13.53%13.47%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.917.008.0016.67%14.47%14.29%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.71%5.07momio equitativo
EV +1.52%
Ventaja +0.296%
Kelly +0.367%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.17%19.76%19.56%21.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.694.755.1523.09%21.32%21.05%19.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.42%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.98%EV +7.55%E +0.944%K +1.08%G +0.081% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.60%EV +1.52%E +0.296%K +0.367%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.79%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 7.91I 12.64%NM 12.08%EV +6.34%E +0.801%K +0.917%G +0.058% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.01%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.36%EV +3.52%E +0.457%K +0.525%G +0.018% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.63%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.01%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.36%EV +3.52%E +0.457%K +0.525%G +0.018% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.63%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.76%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV -3.41%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -3.41%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +0.828%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.14%EV -10.43%E -7.78%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.69%EV -1.86%E -0.255%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV +0.537%E +0.105%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.65%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -2.53%E -0.349%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.67%EV -12.28%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 17:38 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 17:15 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-26 17:26 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-26 17:38 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.89%E -0.842%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.45%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -9.26%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.86%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -9.26%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.53%EV -10.43%E -7.78%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -9.26%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| Fliff | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.71%EV -8.42%E -6.15%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.64%EV -9.93%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.65%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -3.08%E -2.12%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.62%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -13.96%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -12.28%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -13.96%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -12.28%E -2.76%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -4.41%E -3.09%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -14.63%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.13%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -15.57%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.73%EV -4.98%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -15.98%E -2.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -15.98%E -2.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -19.34%E -3.22%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -4.41%E -3.09%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -19.34%E -3.22%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-26 17:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.67% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.87% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |