StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fiorentina v Jagiellonia Białystok

Matchstart: 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

39 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fiorentina (Hemma)

Prognos 60.68%1.65rättvist odds
EV -4.13%
Fördel -2.62%
Kelly -7.13%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.58

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
59.14%60.69%60.82%62.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.471.541.531.5868.03%65.03%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jagiellonia Białystok (Borta)

Prognos 17.25%5.80rättvist odds
EV +10.39%
Fördel +1.62%
Kelly +1.92%
Tillväxt +0.200%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.99%17.25%17.16%18.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.955.445.406.4020.20%18.39%18.52%15.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.08%4.53rättvist odds
EV -1.76%
Fördel -0.396%
Kelly -0.511%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.28%22.06%22.02%22.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.904.224.254.4525.64%23.70%23.53%22.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Fiorentina (Hemma): 60.68%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Borta): 17.25%; Oavgjort: 22.08%. För Jagiellonia Białystok (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.80. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.40, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +10.39%.

Spelbolagsodds (39 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.70%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV +10.39%E +1.62%K +1.92%G +0.200%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV +7.80%E +1.25%K +1.49%G +0.116%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -10.81%E -7.35%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV +5.22%E +0.855%K +1.02%G +0.053%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -10.81%E -7.35%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV +5.22%E +0.855%K +1.02%G +0.053%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.63%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.84%EV +4.35%E +0.719%K +0.862%G +0.038%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.53%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.70%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +3.49%E +0.582%K +0.698%G +0.024%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.70%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +3.49%E +0.582%K +0.698%G +0.024%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:10
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.21%EV +1.08%E +0.184%K +0.221%G +0.002%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.69%EV -3.31%E -0.755%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV +0.041%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.81%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.00%EV -2.55%E -0.451%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.19%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 17:35
Suprabets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.17%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.93%EV -3.41%E -0.609%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:37
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.99%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.25%EV -4.27%E -0.770%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.76%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:20
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 17:33
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.56%E -4.26%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -8.99%E -5.99%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 17:40
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -8.99%E -5.99%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.08%EV -7.72%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.01%EV -8.38%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -10.20%E -6.89%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.83%EV -8.58%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.90%E -3.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-26 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:30
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:30
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.21%EV -8.38%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 17:38
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.31%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.31%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -10.31%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.28%EV -3.97%E -0.912%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 17:26
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.40%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 17:30
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -6.56%E -4.26%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 17:35
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:30
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:35
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.99%E -5.99%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -13.90%E -3.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-26 17:25
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -14.62%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -14.62%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40