La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fiorentina v Jagiellonia Białystok
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fiorentina (Local)
Predicción 60.68%1.65momio equitativo
EV -4.13%
Ventaja -2.62%
Kelly -7.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.14%60.69%60.82%62.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.541.531.5868.03%65.03%65.36%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante)
Predicción 17.25%5.80momio equitativo
EV +10.39%
Ventaja +1.62%
Kelly +1.92%
Crecimiento +0.200%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.99%17.25%17.16%18.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.955.445.406.4020.20%18.39%18.52%15.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.08%4.53momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -0.396%
Kelly -0.511%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.28%22.06%22.02%22.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.224.254.4525.64%23.70%23.53%22.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.70%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV +10.39%E +1.62%K +1.92%G +0.200% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 17:10 |
| Unibet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV +7.80%E +1.25%K +1.49%G +0.116% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -10.81%E -7.35%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV +5.22%E +0.855%K +1.02%G +0.053% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-26 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -10.81%E -7.35%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV +5.22%E +0.855%K +1.02%G +0.053% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-26 17:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.63%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.84%EV +4.35%E +0.719%K +0.862%G +0.038% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.53%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.70%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +3.49%E +0.582%K +0.698%G +0.024% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.70%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +3.49%E +0.582%K +0.698%G +0.024% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 17:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.21%EV +1.08%E +0.184%K +0.221%G +0.002% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.69%EV -3.31%E -0.755%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV +0.041%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.81%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.00%EV -2.55%E -0.451%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.19%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| Suprabets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.17%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.93%EV -3.41%E -0.609%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 17:37 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.99%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.25%EV -4.27%E -0.770%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.76%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 17:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 17:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 17:33 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.56%E -4.26%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -8.99%E -5.99%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -8.99%E -5.99%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.08%EV -7.72%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.01%EV -8.38%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -10.20%E -6.89%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.83%EV -8.58%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.90%E -3.57%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
| Bovada | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.21%EV -8.38%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 17:38 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.31%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.31%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -10.31%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.28%EV -3.97%E -0.912%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 17:26 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.40%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -6.56%E -4.26%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-26 17:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.99%E -5.99%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -13.90%E -3.57%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-26 17:25 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -14.62%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -14.62%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 17:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 17:40 |