مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fiorentina v Jagiellonia Białystok

البداية: 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

39 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fiorentina (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.68%1.65السعر العادل
EV -4.13%
الأفضلية -2.62%
Kelly -7.13%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.14%60.69%60.82%62.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.541.531.5868.03%65.03%65.36%63.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jagiellonia Białystok (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.25%5.80السعر العادل
EV +10.39%
الأفضلية +1.62%
Kelly +1.92%
النمو +0.200%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.99%17.25%17.16%18.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.955.445.406.4020.20%18.39%18.52%15.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.08%4.53السعر العادل
EV -1.76%
الأفضلية -0.396%
Kelly -0.511%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.28%22.06%22.02%22.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.904.224.254.4525.64%23.70%23.53%22.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (39 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.70%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV +10.39%E +1.62%K +1.92%G +0.200%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV +7.80%E +1.25%K +1.49%G +0.116%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -10.81%E -7.35%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV +5.22%E +0.855%K +1.02%G +0.053%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -10.81%E -7.35%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV +5.22%E +0.855%K +1.02%G +0.053%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.63%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.84%EV +4.35%E +0.719%K +0.862%G +0.038%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.53%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 11:55
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.70%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +3.49%E +0.582%K +0.698%G +0.024%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:10
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.70%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +3.49%E +0.582%K +0.698%G +0.024%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:10
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.21%EV +1.08%E +0.184%K +0.221%G +0.002%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.69%EV -3.31%E -0.755%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 17:30
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV +0.041%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.81%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.00%EV -2.55%E -0.451%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.19%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 17:35
Suprabets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.17%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.93%EV -3.41%E -0.609%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:37
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 60.99%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.25%EV -4.27%E -0.770%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.76%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 17:35
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:20
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 17:20
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 17:33
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.56%E -4.26%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:40
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -8.99%E -5.99%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 17:40
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -8.99%E -5.99%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.08%EV -7.72%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.01%EV -8.38%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 17:30
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -10.20%E -6.89%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.83%EV -8.58%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.90%E -3.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-26 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:30
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:30
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.21%EV -8.38%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 17:38
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.31%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.31%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -10.31%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.28%EV -3.97%E -0.912%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 17:26
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.40%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 17:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:30
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -6.56%E -4.26%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 17:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:35
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.99%E -5.99%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -13.90%E -3.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-26 17:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -14.62%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:30
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -14.62%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (3)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40