A Escola das Odds

Fiorentina v Jagiellonia Białystok

Início: 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Fiorentina (Local)

Previsão 60.68%1.65odd justa
EV -4.13%
Vantagem -2.62%
Kelly -7.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.14%60.69%60.82%62.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.471.541.531.5868.03%65.03%65.36%63.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante)

Previsão 17.25%5.80odd justa
EV +10.39%
Vantagem +1.62%
Kelly +1.92%
Crescimento +0.200%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.99%17.25%17.16%18.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.955.445.406.4020.20%18.39%18.52%15.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.08%4.53odd justa
EV -1.76%
Vantagem -0.396%
Kelly -0.511%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.28%22.06%22.02%22.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.904.224.254.4525.64%23.70%23.53%22.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.70%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV +10.39%E +1.62%K +1.92%G +0.200%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV +7.80%E +1.25%K +1.49%G +0.116%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -10.81%E -7.35%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV +5.22%E +0.855%K +1.02%G +0.053%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -10.81%E -7.35%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV +5.22%E +0.855%K +1.02%G +0.053%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.63%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.84%EV +4.35%E +0.719%K +0.862%G +0.038%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.53%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 11:55
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.70%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +3.49%E +0.582%K +0.698%G +0.024%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:10
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.70%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +3.49%E +0.582%K +0.698%G +0.024%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:10
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.21%EV +1.08%E +0.184%K +0.221%G +0.002%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.69%EV -3.31%E -0.755%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 17:30
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV +0.041%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.81%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.00%EV -2.55%E -0.451%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.19%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 17:35
Suprabets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.17%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.93%EV -3.41%E -0.609%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:37
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 60.99%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.25%EV -4.27%E -0.770%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.76%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 17:35
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:20
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 17:20
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 17:33
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.56%E -4.26%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:40
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -8.99%E -5.99%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 17:40
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -8.99%E -5.99%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.08%EV -7.72%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.01%EV -8.38%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 17:30
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -10.20%E -6.89%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.83%EV -8.58%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.90%E -3.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-26 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:30
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:30
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.21%EV -8.38%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 17:38
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.31%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.31%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -10.31%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.28%EV -3.97%E -0.912%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 17:26
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.40%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 17:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:30
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -6.56%E -4.26%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 17:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:35
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.99%E -5.99%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -13.90%E -3.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-26 17:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -14.62%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:30
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -14.62%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40