L’École des cotes

Fiorentina v Jagiellonia Białystok

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fiorentina (Local)

Prévision 60.68%1.65cote équitable
EV -4.13%
Avantage -2.62%
Kelly -7.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.14%60.69%60.82%62.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.541.531.5868.03%65.03%65.36%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.25%5.80cote équitable
EV +10.39%
Avantage +1.62%
Kelly +1.92%
Croissance +0.200%

avec la cote maximale 6.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.99%17.25%17.16%18.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.955.445.406.4020.20%18.39%18.52%15.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.08%4.53cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.396%
Kelly -0.511%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.28%22.06%22.02%22.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.224.254.4525.64%23.70%23.53%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.70%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV +10.39%E +1.62%K +1.92%G +0.200%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV +7.80%E +1.25%K +1.49%G +0.116%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -10.81%E -7.35%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV +5.22%E +0.855%K +1.02%G +0.053%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -10.81%E -7.35%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV +5.22%E +0.855%K +1.02%G +0.053%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.63%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.84%EV +4.35%E +0.719%K +0.862%G +0.038%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.53%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 11:55
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.70%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +3.49%E +0.582%K +0.698%G +0.024%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:10
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.70%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +3.49%E +0.582%K +0.698%G +0.024%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:10
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.21%EV +1.08%E +0.184%K +0.221%G +0.002%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.69%EV -3.31%E -0.755%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 17:30
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV +0.041%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.81%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.00%EV -2.55%E -0.451%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.19%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 17:35
Suprabets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.17%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.93%EV -3.41%E -0.609%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:37
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 60.99%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.25%EV -4.27%E -0.770%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.76%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 17:35
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:20
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 17:20
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:40
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 17:33
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.56%E -4.26%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:40
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -8.99%E -5.99%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 17:40
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -8.99%E -5.99%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.08%EV -7.72%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.01%EV -8.38%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 17:30
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -10.20%E -6.89%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.83%EV -8.58%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.90%E -3.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-26 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:30
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:30
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.45%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.21%EV -8.38%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 17:38
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.31%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.31%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -7.77%E -5.11%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -10.31%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.28%EV -3.97%E -0.912%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 17:26
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.40%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 17:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.95%E -3.84%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 17:30
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -6.56%E -4.26%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 17:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.17%E -4.68%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 17:35
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.99%E -5.99%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.76%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -13.90%E -3.57%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-26 17:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -14.62%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:30
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -4.13%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -14.62%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%0.5%2026-02-26 17:40