Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede v FC Thun

2026-10-15 19:00 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Prediction 77.34%1.29fair odd
EV -5.65%
Edge -4.63%
Kelly -25.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.48%77.35%77.39%79.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.191.201.2286.21%83.77%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Thun (Visit)

Prediction 8.70%11.50fair odd
EV +13.07%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.142%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.26%8.63%8.67%10.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0010.8811.0013.0011.11%9.19%9.09%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.96%7.16fair odd
EV +6.82%
Edge +0.891%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 7.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.60%14.02%13.94%16.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.676.757.6518.18%15.00%14.81%13.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Twente Enschede (Local): 77.34%; FC Thun (Visit): 8.70%; Draw: 13.96%. For FC Thun (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.50. 14 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 13.00, producing a positive expected value of +13.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.37%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.39%EV +13.07%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.142%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.25%EV +1.23%E +0.170%K +0.197%G +0.002%4.1%2026-09-27 19:15
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +13.07%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.142%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -2.26%E -0.323%K -0.376%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 05:20
SportsBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -7.97%E -6.69%K -41.93%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +13.07%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.142%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -2.26%E -0.323%K -0.376%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 19:09
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.68%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.71%EV +8.72%E +0.698%K +0.758%G +0.066%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.60%EV +6.82%E +0.891%K +1.03%G +0.070%3.7%2026-09-30 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.75%EV -7.97%E -6.69%K -41.93%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +8.72%E +0.698%K +0.758%G +0.066%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +4.72%E +0.630%K +0.727%G +0.034%5.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.75%EV -7.97%E -6.69%K -41.93%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV +8.72%E +0.698%K +0.758%G +0.066%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +4.72%E +0.630%K +0.727%G +0.034%5.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.54%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV +8.72%E +0.698%K +0.758%G +0.066%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV -20.41%E -3.58%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.54%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV +8.72%E +0.698%K +0.758%G +0.066%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV -20.41%E -3.58%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:01
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +4.37%E +0.364%K +0.397%G +0.017%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -19.71%E -3.43%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Bet Right🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -7.97%E -6.69%K -41.93%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +4.37%E +0.364%K +0.397%G +0.017%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -9.24%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -9.51%E -8.13%K -55.96%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV +4.37%E +0.364%K +0.397%G +0.017%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -2.26%E -0.323%K -0.376%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 08:30
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -9.51%E -8.13%K -55.96%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +4.37%E +0.364%K +0.397%G +0.017%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.24%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-10 19:01
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -8.74%E -7.41%K -48.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV +0.024%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -9.24%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 14:39
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -8.74%E -7.41%K -48.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV +0.024%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -9.24%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -4.33%E -0.393%K -0.433%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.26%E -0.323%K -0.376%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -4.33%E -0.393%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.24%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.08%EV -8.74%E -7.41%K -48.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -4.33%E -0.393%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.55%EV -5.05%E -0.743%K -0.871%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.29%EV -10.29%E -8.87%K -64.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -4.33%E -0.393%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -5.75%E -0.852%K -1.000%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.29%EV -10.29%E -8.87%K -64.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -4.33%E -0.393%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -5.75%E -0.852%K -1.000%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.29%EV -10.29%E -8.87%K -64.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -4.33%E -0.393%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -5.75%E -0.852%K -1.000%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.48%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%10.76I 9.29%NM 8.71%EV -6.41%E -0.596%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 13.81%EV -5.19%E -0.764%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -13.02%E -1.30%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -2.26%E -0.323%K -0.376%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 09:30
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -13.02%E -1.30%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -2.26%E -0.323%K -0.376%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-27 19:10
Bovada🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.91%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -13.02%E -1.30%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -5.75%E -0.852%K -1.000%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 19:10
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -13.02%E -1.30%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -2.26%E -0.323%K -0.376%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -13.02%E -1.30%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -9.24%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 14:01
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.49%EV -7.97%E -6.69%K -41.93%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.29%EV -14.76%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -10.64%E -1.66%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-27 19:05
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.66%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.66%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.59%EV -15.20%E -1.56%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -5.05%E -0.743%K -0.871%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.66%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.66%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.59%EV -15.20%E -1.56%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -5.05%E -0.743%K -0.871%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 09:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.50%EV -9.51%E -8.13%K -55.96%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.18%EV -15.20%E -1.56%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -12.73%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.08%EV -10.29%E -8.87%K -64.29%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.17%EV -15.20%E -1.56%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -9.24%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 14:39
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.53%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -17.37%E -1.83%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -5.75%E -0.852%K -1.000%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -21.72%E -2.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.24%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -21.72%E -2.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.24%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -21.72%E -2.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.24%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 11:10
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -21.72%E -2.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.24%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 11:15
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.48%EV -9.51%E -8.13%K -55.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.68%EV -21.72%E -2.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -23.20%E -4.22%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-27 19:07
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 78.79%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%3.2%2026-10-11 01:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 78.79%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%3.2%2026-10-11 01:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 78.79%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%3.2%2026-10-11 01:35