Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede v FC Thun

2026-10-15 19:00 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Prediction 78.24%1.28fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -3.73%
Kelly -20.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.48%78.04%78.07%81.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.181.191.2288.50%84.48%84.03%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Thun (Visit)

Prediction 8.20%12.19fair odd
EV +18.94%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.266%

assuming max odds 14.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.36%8.19%8.36%10.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0011.0811.0014.5011.11%9.03%9.09%6.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.56%7.38fair odd
EV +9.14%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.119%

assuming max odds 8.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.98%13.77%13.57%16.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.716.758.0517.54%14.90%14.81%12.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Twente Enschede (Local): 78.24%; FC Thun (Visit): 8.20%; Draw: 13.56%. For FC Thun (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.19. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 14.50, producing a positive expected value of +18.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.47%EV -6.90%E -5.79%K -36.29%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.36%EV +18.94%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.266%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.17%EV -22.72%E -3.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:01
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.47%EV -6.90%E -5.79%K -36.29%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.36%EV +18.94%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.266%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.17%EV -22.72%E -3.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.41%EV -5.33%E -4.41%K -25.39%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.86%EV +14.84%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.169%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV -5.09%E -0.728%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-17 16:11
1xBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.03%EV -6.90%E -5.79%K -36.29%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 6.99%EV +13.20%E +0.957%K +1.03%G +0.136%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +9.14%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.119%3.7%2026-09-21 04:14
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +6.64%E +0.511%K +0.553%G +0.037%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -5.09%E -0.728%K -0.849%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 05:20
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.77%EV -7.68%E -6.51%K -42.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +6.64%E +0.511%K +0.553%G +0.037%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -1.70%E -0.235%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 05:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.35%EV -8.46%E -7.23%K -49.77%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.58%EV +0.487%E +0.040%K +0.043%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.08%EV -3.74%E -0.526%K -0.613%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -6.90%E -5.79%K -36.29%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -1.56%E -0.130%K -0.142%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.09%E -0.728%K -0.849%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -6.90%E -5.79%K -36.29%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -1.56%E -0.130%K -0.142%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.09%E -0.728%K -0.849%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 14:01
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -8.46%E -7.23%K -49.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -1.56%E -0.130%K -0.142%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.09%E -0.728%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 08:30
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -10.81%E -9.48%K -77.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -1.56%E -0.130%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.78%EV -6.90%E -5.79%K -36.29%G +0.000%11.77I 8.50%NM 7.96%EV -3.45%E -0.293%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.26%EV -4.14%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 19:20
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.52%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.77%E -0.888%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.77%EV +1.69%E +0.225%K +0.259%G +0.004%4.4%2026-09-09 09:30
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.71%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -9.77%E -0.888%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -8.48%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 23:47
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.90%E -5.79%K -36.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -9.77%E -0.888%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.09%E -0.728%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 19:00
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -7.68%E -6.51%K -42.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -9.77%E -0.888%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -5.09%E -0.728%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 14:21
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.44%EV -6.90%E -5.79%K -36.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -9.77%E -0.888%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 21:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.00%EV -7.68%E -6.51%K -42.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -9.77%E -0.888%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.48%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.14%EV -8.46%E -7.23%K -49.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -9.77%E -0.888%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -8.48%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.14%EV -8.46%E -7.23%K -49.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -9.77%E -0.888%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -8.48%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.14%EV -8.46%E -7.23%K -49.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -9.77%E -0.888%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -8.48%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 14:01
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.50%EV -8.46%E -7.23%K -49.77%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 8.55%EV -13.05%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 06:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -17.97%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -5.09%E -0.728%K -0.849%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 09:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -10.81%E -9.48%K -77.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -17.97%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 13:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.38%EV -11.59%E -10.26%K -89.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.74%EV -17.97%E -1.80%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.88%EV -14.58%E -2.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-14 06:05
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.66%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.59%EV -20.02%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -7.80%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.66%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.59%EV -20.02%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -7.80%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 09:30
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.87%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.46%EV -20.02%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -8.48%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 09:30
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -8.46%E -7.23%K -49.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -22.07%E -2.32%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 21:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 76.15%EV -10.81%E -9.48%K -77.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.14%EV -22.07%E -2.32%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.71%EV -20.01%E -3.39%K -4.08%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-07 06:25
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -26.17%E -2.91%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -26.17%E -2.91%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -26.17%E -2.91%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 11:10
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -26.17%E -2.91%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -11.87%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 11:15
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 75.48%EV -10.81%E -9.48%K -77.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -26.17%E -2.91%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 14.96%EV -22.04%E -3.83%K -4.64%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-07 05:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.65%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.72%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.63%4.2%2026-09-20 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.65%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.72%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.63%4.2%2026-09-20 09:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.65%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.72%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.63%4.2%2026-09-20 09:05