Langue:Français
FC Twente Enschede v FC Thun
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Twente Enschede (Local)
Prévision 81.87%1.22cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -3.60%
Kelly -24.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.40%81.76%82.09%82.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.091.151.151.1791.74%87.30%86.96%85.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
FC Thun (Visiteur)
Prévision 7.00%14.28cote équitable
EV +5.01%
Avantage +0.334%
Kelly +0.358%
Croissance +0.018%
avec la cote maximale 15.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.19%7.09%6.80%8.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
11.0012.9913.0015.009.09%7.70%7.69%6.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 11.13%8.98cote équitable
EV +3.52%
Avantage +0.378%
Kelly +0.424%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 9.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.22%11.15%11.12%12.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.258.259.3014.29%12.13%12.12%10.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Twente Enschede (Local) : 81.87% ; FC Thun (Visiteur) : 7.00% ; Match nul : 11.13%. Pour FC Thun (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 14.28. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 15.00, soit une espérance positive de +5.01%.
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.68%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +5.01%E +0.334%K +0.358%G +0.018% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-15 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.90%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.64%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.30%EV +5.01%E +0.334%K +0.358%G +0.018% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.80%EV -2.60%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +5.01%E +0.334%K +0.358%G +0.018% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-15 18:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.89%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +5.01%E +0.334%K +0.358%G +0.018% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.89%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +5.01%E +0.334%K +0.358%G +0.018% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.02%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV +1.51%E +0.104%K +0.112%G +0.002% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.02%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV +1.51%E +0.104%K +0.112%G +0.002% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.91%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.75%EV -0.243%E -0.017%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.34%EV +3.52%E +0.378%K +0.424%G +0.015% | 4.0% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.93%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 14.19I 7.05%NM 6.72%EV -0.663%E -0.047%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 9.21I 10.86%NM 10.35%EV +2.52%E +0.273%K +0.307%G +0.008% | 4.9% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.01%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.65%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +0.181%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.14%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.30%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 13.75I 7.27%NM 6.76%EV -3.74%E -0.272%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-15 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.07%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.05%EV -5.49%E -0.407%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV -2.60%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.07%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.05%EV -5.49%E -0.407%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV -2.60%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -8.99%E -0.692%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +0.181%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-15 18:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.22%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -8.99%E -0.692%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV +0.181%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-15 17:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -8.99%E -0.692%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-15 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.11%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.23%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -8.99%E -0.692%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.83%EV -9.94%E -9.04%K -99.45%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -8.99%E -0.692%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.35%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV -12.49%E -0.999%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-15 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.96%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-15 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-15 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-15 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-15 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.23%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.91%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -16.52%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -16.52%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -16.52%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -16.52%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.75%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 11.80I 8.47%NM 8.04%EV -17.39%E -1.47%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.28I 10.78%NM 10.22%EV +3.30%E +0.355%K +0.398%G +0.013% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.55%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -19.49%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -8.17%E -0.990%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.55%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -19.49%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -8.17%E -0.990%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-15 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.68%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -19.49%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.25%EV -8.17%E -0.990%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 18:27 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.38%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -19.49%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.72%EV -13.73%E -1.77%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.64%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.09%EV -21.24%E -1.89%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -16.52%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-15 18:33 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.40%EV -9.13%E -8.22%K -82.97%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.01%EV -22.99%E -2.09%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -22.08%E -3.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-15 18:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 80.10%EV -10.76%E -9.87%K -119.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -22.99%E -2.09%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 11.96%EV -18.74%E -2.57%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-15 18:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.05% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.83% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12% | 0.8% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.05% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.83% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12% | 0.8% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.05% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.83% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12% | 0.8% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |