Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Twente Enschede v FC Thun

Inizio: 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC

Finale: FC Twente Enschede 1–0 FC Thun

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

42 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Twente Enschede (Casa)

Previsione 81.87%1.22quota equa
EV -4.21%
Vantaggio -3.60%
Kelly -24.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
79.40%81.76%82.09%82.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.091.151.151.1791.74%87.30%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

FC Thun (Trasferta)

Previsione 7.00%14.28quota equa
EV +5.01%
Vantaggio +0.334%
Kelly +0.358%
Crescita +0.018%

ipotizzando la quota massima 15.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.19%7.09%6.80%8.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
11.0012.9913.0015.009.09%7.70%7.69%6.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 11.13%8.98quota equa
EV +3.52%
Vantaggio +0.378%
Kelly +0.424%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.22%11.15%11.12%12.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.008.258.259.3014.29%12.13%12.12%10.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: FC Twente Enschede (Casa): 81.87%; FC Thun (Trasferta): 7.00%; Pareggio: 11.13%. Per FC Thun (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 14.28. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 15.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.01%.

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.68%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +5.01%E +0.334%K +0.358%G +0.018%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-15 18:04
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.90%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.30%EV +5.01%E +0.334%K +0.358%G +0.018%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.80%EV -2.60%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +5.01%E +0.334%K +0.358%G +0.018%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 18:05
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.89%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +5.01%E +0.334%K +0.358%G +0.018%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:04
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.89%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +5.01%E +0.334%K +0.358%G +0.018%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:54
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.02%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV +1.51%E +0.104%K +0.112%G +0.002%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.02%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV +1.51%E +0.104%K +0.112%G +0.002%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 18:55
ReBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.91%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.75%EV -0.243%E -0.017%K -0.018%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.34%EV +3.52%E +0.378%K +0.424%G +0.015%4.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.93%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000%14.19I 7.05%NM 6.72%EV -0.663%E -0.047%K -0.050%G +0.000%9.21I 10.86%NM 10.35%EV +2.52%E +0.273%K +0.307%G +0.008%4.9%2026-10-15 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.01%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.65%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +0.181%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 18:45
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.14%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.30%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%13.75I 7.27%NM 6.76%EV -3.74%E -0.272%K -0.294%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.07%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.05%EV -5.49%E -0.407%K -0.439%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV -2.60%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.07%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.05%EV -5.49%E -0.407%K -0.439%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV -2.60%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 18:30
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -8.99%E -0.692%K -0.749%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +0.181%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 18:29
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.22%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -8.99%E -0.692%K -0.749%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV +0.181%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 17:50
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -8.99%E -0.692%K -0.749%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.11%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -8.99%E -0.692%K -0.749%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.83%EV -9.94%E -9.04%K -99.45%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -8.99%E -0.692%K -0.749%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-15 18:50
picklebet_au🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.35%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV -12.49%E -0.999%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.96%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 18:00
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 17:50
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 17:50
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.23%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.91%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -16.52%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -16.52%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -16.52%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -16.52%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 18:50
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.75%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%11.80I 8.47%NM 8.04%EV -17.39%E -1.47%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.28I 10.78%NM 10.22%EV +3.30%E +0.355%K +0.398%G +0.013%5.5%2026-10-15 18:50
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.55%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -19.49%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -8.17%E -0.990%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.55%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -19.49%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -8.17%E -0.990%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.68%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -19.49%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.25%EV -8.17%E -0.990%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 18:27
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.38%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -19.49%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.72%EV -13.73%E -1.77%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.64%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.09%EV -21.24%E -1.89%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -16.52%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 18:33
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 79.40%EV -9.13%E -8.22%K -82.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.01%EV -22.99%E -2.09%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -22.08%E -3.15%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-15 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 80.10%EV -10.76%E -9.87%K -119.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -22.99%E -2.09%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 11.96%EV -18.74%E -2.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-15 18:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.05%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%0.8%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.05%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%0.8%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.05%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%0.8%2026-10-15 18:55