StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

FC Twente Enschede v FC Thun

Spielbeginn: 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC

Endstand: FC Twente Enschede 1–0 FC Thun

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

42 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

FC Twente Enschede (Heim)

Prognose 81.87%1.22faire Quote
EV -4.21%
Vorteil -3.60%
Kelly -24.79%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
79.40%81.76%82.09%82.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.091.151.151.1791.74%87.30%86.96%85.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

FC Thun (Auswärts)

Prognose 7.00%14.28faire Quote
EV +5.01%
Vorteil +0.334%
Kelly +0.358%
Wachstum +0.018%

bei einer Höchstquote von 15.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
6.19%7.09%6.80%8.12%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
11.0012.9913.0015.009.09%7.70%7.69%6.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 11.13%8.98faire Quote
EV +3.52%
Vorteil +0.378%
Kelly +0.424%
Wachstum +0.015%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.22%11.15%11.12%12.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.008.258.259.3014.29%12.13%12.12%10.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: FC Twente Enschede (Heim): 81.87%; FC Thun (Auswärts): 7.00%; Unentschieden: 11.13%. Für FC Thun (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 14.28. 7 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 15.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +5.01%.

Wettanbieterquoten (42 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.68%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +5.01%E +0.334%K +0.358%G +0.018%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-15 18:04
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.90%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.30%EV +5.01%E +0.334%K +0.358%G +0.018%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.80%EV -2.60%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +5.01%E +0.334%K +0.358%G +0.018%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 18:05
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.89%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +5.01%E +0.334%K +0.358%G +0.018%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:04
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.89%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +5.01%E +0.334%K +0.358%G +0.018%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:54
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.02%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV +1.51%E +0.104%K +0.112%G +0.002%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.02%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV +1.51%E +0.104%K +0.112%G +0.002%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 18:55
ReBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.91%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.75%EV -0.243%E -0.017%K -0.018%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.34%EV +3.52%E +0.378%K +0.424%G +0.015%4.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.93%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000%14.19I 7.05%NM 6.72%EV -0.663%E -0.047%K -0.050%G +0.000%9.21I 10.86%NM 10.35%EV +2.52%E +0.273%K +0.307%G +0.008%4.9%2026-10-15 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.01%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.65%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +0.181%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 18:45
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.14%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -1.99%E -0.142%K -0.153%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.30%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%13.75I 7.27%NM 6.76%EV -3.74%E -0.272%K -0.294%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.07%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.05%EV -5.49%E -0.407%K -0.439%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV -2.60%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.07%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.05%EV -5.49%E -0.407%K -0.439%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV -2.60%E -0.297%K -0.336%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 18:30
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -8.99%E -0.692%K -0.749%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +0.181%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 18:29
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.22%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -8.99%E -0.692%K -0.749%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV +0.181%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 17:50
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -8.99%E -0.692%K -0.749%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.11%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -8.99%E -0.692%K -0.749%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.83%EV -9.94%E -9.04%K -99.45%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -8.99%E -0.692%K -0.749%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-15 18:50
picklebet_au🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.35%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV -12.49%E -0.999%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.96%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 18:00
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 17:50
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.21%E -3.60%K -24.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -10.95%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 17:50
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.23%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -5.39%E -0.634%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.91%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -16.52%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -16.52%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -16.52%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.33%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -15.99%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -16.52%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 18:50
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.75%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%11.80I 8.47%NM 8.04%EV -17.39%E -1.47%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.28I 10.78%NM 10.22%EV +3.30%E +0.355%K +0.398%G +0.013%5.5%2026-10-15 18:50
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.55%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -19.49%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -8.17%E -0.990%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.55%EV -5.03%E -4.34%K -31.45%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -19.49%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -8.17%E -0.990%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.68%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.01%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -19.49%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.25%EV -8.17%E -0.990%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 18:27
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.38%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.61%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -19.49%E -1.70%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.72%EV -13.73%E -1.77%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.64%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.09%EV -21.24%E -1.89%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -16.52%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 18:33
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 79.40%EV -9.13%E -8.22%K -82.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.01%EV -22.99%E -2.09%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -22.08%E -3.15%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-15 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 80.10%EV -10.76%E -9.87%K -119.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -22.99%E -2.09%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 11.96%EV -18.74%E -2.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-15 18:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.05%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%0.8%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.05%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%0.8%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.05%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%0.8%2026-10-15 18:55