The School of Odds
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FC Iberia 1999 v Getafe

2026-11-26 17:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Iberia 1999 (Local)

Prediction 11.26%8.88fair odd
EV +5.80%
Edge +0.617%
Kelly +0.690%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 9.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.00%11.73%11.43%17.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.297.838.009.4018.90%12.77%12.50%10.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Getafe (Visit)

Prediction 69.27%1.44fair odd
EV +5.98%
Edge +3.91%
Kelly +11.28%
Growth +0.675%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.32%68.76%69.07%71.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.341.331.5381.97%74.46%75.19%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.48%5.13fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.524%
Kelly -0.654%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.65%19.51%19.50%22.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.154.664.755.0024.10%21.44%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Iberia 1999 (Local): 11.26%; Getafe (Visit): 69.27%; Draw: 19.48%. For Getafe (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.44. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.53, producing a positive expected value of +5.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯5.29I 18.90%NM 17.45%EV -40.46%E -7.65%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.32%EV +5.98%E +3.91%K +11.28%G +0.675%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -19.17%E -4.62%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-12 17:50
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -32.47%E -5.41%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -0.946%E -0.662%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-12 18:18
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -15.59%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -4.41%E -3.20%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.57%E -0.932%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-12 17:50
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV +1.30%E +0.144%K +0.162%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.27%EV -5.80%E -4.26%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -2.62%E -0.524%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-12 18:20
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.80%E -4.26%K -16.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -10.41%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-12 18:25
NordicBet🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 10.10%EV +5.80%E +0.617%K +0.690%G +0.040%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.49%E -4.81%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.58%EV -5.54%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-12 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.33%E -0.510%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -6.49%E -4.81%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -6.51%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-12 18:20
Betsson🎯9.20I 10.87%NM 10.20%EV +3.55%E +0.386%K +0.433%G +0.015%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.04%EV -7.18%E -5.36%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.49%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-12 18:25
picklebet_au🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.87%E -5.92%K -23.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.51%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-12 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.87%E -5.92%K -23.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -7.49%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-12 17:49
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.96%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.87%E -5.92%K -23.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -10.41%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-12 18:20
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -21.21%E -3.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.87%E -5.92%K -23.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-12 17:48
ReBet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.62%EV -12.21%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.67%EV -8.57%E -6.49%K -26.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -10.41%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-12 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.00%EV +4.67%E +0.503%K +0.563%G +0.026%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.01%EV -9.26%E -7.07%K -29.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -4.57%E -0.932%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-12 18:25
theScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -15.59%E -2.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.41%EV -10.64%E -8.25%K -36.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -6.51%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-12 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 11.97%EV -18.40%E -2.54%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 68.31%EV -12.03%E -9.47%K -44.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -14.30%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%15.3%2026-11-12 17:48
Unibet (FR)🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 11.43%EV -16.71%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 69.34%EV -15.49%E -12.70%K -70.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.23%EV -14.30%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%18.2%2026-11-12 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (175 combinations) +4.17%NordicBet 9.40 (11.1%) / 1xBet 1.53 (68.1%) / Coral 5.00 (20.8%)Show all 175 combinations
FC Iberia 1999 (Local)Getafe (Visit)DrawMargin
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (68.1%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.8%)+4.17%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (68.0%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.8%)+4.05%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.3%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.9%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.8%)+3.92%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.8%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.2%)+3.73%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.2%)+3.73%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.5%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.7%)+3.66%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.7%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.61%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.7%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.61%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.3%)+3.50%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.48%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.48%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.3%)+3.38%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.27%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.27%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.27%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.3%)+3.26%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.5%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.22%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.5%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.22%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.4%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.15%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.4%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.15%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.4%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.15%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+3.04%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+3.04%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.03%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.03%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.03%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.2%)+3.00%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.6%)+2.96%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+2.92%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+2.92%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.79%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.79%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.4%)+2.77%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.4%)+2.77%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.4%)+2.77%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.54%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.54%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (20.9%)+2.53%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (20.9%)+2.53%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (10.9%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)Casumo🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.32%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (10.9%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)BetMGM🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.32%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (10.9%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)ReBet🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.32%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.1%)+2.31%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Casumo🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.20%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)BetMGM🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.20%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)ReBet🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.20%
Casumo🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%
picklebet_au🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%
Unibet (UK)🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%
BetMGM🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%

Showing 50 of 175 combinations