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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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FC Iberia 1999 v Getafe

2026-11-26 17:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Frente a frente

17 casas de apostas (5 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Iberia 1999 (Local)

Previsão 11.05%9.05odd justa
EV +3.84%
Vantagem +0.408%
Kelly +0.457%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.00%11.01%11.40%17.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.297.838.009.4018.90%12.77%12.50%10.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Getafe (Visitante)

Previsão 69.57%1.44odd justa
EV +6.45%
Vantagem +4.21%
Kelly +12.16%
Crescimento +0.784%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.32%69.66%69.28%71.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.341.331.5381.97%74.79%75.19%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.38%5.16odd justa
EV -3.10%
Vantagem -0.620%
Kelly -0.775%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.65%19.32%19.32%22.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.154.654.755.0024.10%21.52%21.05%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: FC Iberia 1999 (Local): 11.05%; Getafe (Visitante): 69.57%; Empate: 19.38%. Para Getafe (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.44. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.53, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +6.45%.

Odds das casas de apostas (17 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯5.29I 18.90%NM 17.45%EV -41.56%E -7.86%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.32%EV +6.45%E +4.21%K +12.16%G +0.784%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -19.57%E -4.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-12 17:50
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -17.15%E -2.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-12 17:50
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -0.580%E -0.064%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.27%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -3.10%E -0.620%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-12 18:20
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -11.63%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -10.85%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-12 18:25
NordicBet🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 10.10%EV +3.84%E +0.408%K +0.457%G +0.018%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.58%EV -6.01%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-12 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -6.10%E -0.718%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -6.98%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-12 18:20
Betsson🎯9.20I 10.87%NM 10.20%EV +1.63%E +0.177%K +0.199%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.04%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-12 18:25
picklebet_au🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -11.63%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.98%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-12 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -11.63%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-12 17:49
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.63%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -10.85%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-12 18:20
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -22.67%E -3.24%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-12 17:48
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -33.72%E -5.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.01%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -18.60%E -4.43%K -5.81%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-12 18:55
ReBet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.62%EV -13.84%E -1.77%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.67%EV -8.16%E -6.18%K -25.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -10.85%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-12 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.00%EV +2.73%E +0.294%K +0.329%G +0.009%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.01%EV -8.86%E -6.76%K -28.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-12 18:25
theScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -17.15%E -2.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.41%EV -10.25%E -7.95%K -35.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -6.98%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-12 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 11.97%EV -19.91%E -2.75%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 68.31%EV -11.64%E -9.17%K -43.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -14.73%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%15.3%2026-11-12 17:48
Unibet (FR)🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 11.43%EV -18.25%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 69.34%EV -15.12%E -12.39%K -68.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.23%EV -14.73%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%18.2%2026-11-12 17:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Arbitragem (172 combinações) +4.17%NordicBet 9.40 (11.1%) / 1xBet 1.53 (68.1%) / Coral 5.00 (20.8%)Mostrar as 172 combinações
FC Iberia 1999 (Local)Getafe (Visitante)EmpateMargem
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (68.1%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.8%)+4.17%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (68.0%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.8%)+4.05%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.3%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.9%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.8%)+3.92%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.8%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.2%)+3.73%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.2%)+3.73%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.5%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.7%)+3.66%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.7%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.61%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.7%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.61%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.3%)+3.50%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.48%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.48%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.3%)+3.38%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.27%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.27%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.27%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.3%)+3.26%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.5%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.22%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.5%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.22%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.4%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.15%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.4%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.15%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.4%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.15%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+3.04%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+3.04%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.03%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.03%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.03%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.2%)+3.00%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.6%)+2.96%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+2.92%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+2.92%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.79%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.79%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.4%)+2.77%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.4%)+2.77%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.4%)+2.77%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.54%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.54%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (20.9%)+2.53%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (20.9%)+2.53%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (10.9%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)Casumo🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.32%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (10.9%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)BetMGM🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.32%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (10.9%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)ReBet🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.32%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.1%)+2.31%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Casumo🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.20%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)BetMGM🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.20%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)ReBet🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.20%
Casumo🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%
picklebet_au🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%
Unibet (UK)🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%
BetMGM🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%

A mostrar 50 de 172 combinações