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Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Iberia 1999 v Getafe

2026-11-26 17:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Résultat du match

17 opérateurs (5 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Iberia 1999 (Local)

Prévision 11.05%9.05cote équitable
EV +3.84%
Avantage +0.408%
Kelly +0.457%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 9.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.00%11.01%11.40%17.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.297.838.009.4018.90%12.77%12.50%10.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Getafe (Visiteur)

Prévision 69.57%1.44cote équitable
EV +6.45%
Avantage +4.21%
Kelly +12.16%
Croissance +0.784%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.32%69.66%69.28%71.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.341.331.5381.97%74.79%75.19%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.38%5.16cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -0.620%
Kelly -0.775%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.65%19.32%19.32%22.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.154.654.755.0024.10%21.52%21.05%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : FC Iberia 1999 (Local) : 11.05% ; Getafe (Visiteur) : 69.57% ; Match nul : 19.38%. Pour Getafe (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.44. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 1.53, pour une espérance positive de +6.45%.

Cotes des opérateurs (17 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯5.29I 18.90%NM 17.45%EV -41.56%E -7.86%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.32%EV +6.45%E +4.21%K +12.16%G +0.784%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -19.57%E -4.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-12 17:50
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -17.15%E -2.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-12 17:50
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -0.580%E -0.064%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.27%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -3.10%E -0.620%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-12 18:20
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -11.63%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -10.85%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-12 18:25
NordicBet🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 10.10%EV +3.84%E +0.408%K +0.457%G +0.018%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.58%EV -6.01%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-12 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -6.10%E -0.718%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -6.98%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-12 18:20
Betsson🎯9.20I 10.87%NM 10.20%EV +1.63%E +0.177%K +0.199%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.04%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-12 18:25
picklebet_au🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -11.63%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.98%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-12 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -11.63%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-12 17:49
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.63%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -10.85%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-12 18:20
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -22.67%E -3.24%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-12 17:48
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -33.72%E -5.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.01%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -18.60%E -4.43%K -5.81%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-12 18:55
ReBet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.62%EV -13.84%E -1.77%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.67%EV -8.16%E -6.18%K -25.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -10.85%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-12 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.00%EV +2.73%E +0.294%K +0.329%G +0.009%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.01%EV -8.86%E -6.76%K -28.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-12 18:25
theScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -17.15%E -2.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.41%EV -10.25%E -7.95%K -35.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -6.98%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-12 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 11.97%EV -19.91%E -2.75%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 68.31%EV -11.64%E -9.17%K -43.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -14.73%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%15.3%2026-11-12 17:48
Unibet (FR)🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 11.43%EV -18.25%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 69.34%EV -15.12%E -12.39%K -68.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.23%EV -14.73%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%18.2%2026-11-12 17:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Arbitrage (172 combinaisons) +4.17%NordicBet 9.40 (11.1%) / 1xBet 1.53 (68.1%) / Coral 5.00 (20.8%)Afficher les 172 combinaisons
FC Iberia 1999 (Local)Getafe (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (68.1%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.8%)+4.17%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (68.0%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.8%)+4.05%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.3%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.9%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.8%)+3.92%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.8%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.2%)+3.73%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.2%)+3.73%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.5%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.7%)+3.66%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.7%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.61%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.7%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.61%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.3%)+3.50%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.48%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.48%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.3%)+3.38%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.27%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.27%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.27%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.3%)+3.26%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.5%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.22%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.5%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.22%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.4%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.15%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.4%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.15%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.4%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.15%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+3.04%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+3.04%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.03%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.03%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.03%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.2%)+3.00%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.6%)+2.96%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+2.92%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+2.92%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.79%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.79%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.4%)+2.77%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.4%)+2.77%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.4%)+2.77%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.54%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.54%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (20.9%)+2.53%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (20.9%)+2.53%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (10.9%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)Casumo🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.32%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (10.9%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)BetMGM🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.32%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (10.9%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)ReBet🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.32%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.1%)+2.31%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Casumo🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.20%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)BetMGM🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.20%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)ReBet🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.20%
Casumo🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%
picklebet_au🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%
Unibet (UK)🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%
BetMGM🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%

50 combinaisons affichées sur 172