La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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FC Iberia 1999 v Getafe

2026-11-26 17:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Resultado del partido

17 corredores (5 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Iberia 1999 (Local)

Predicción 11.05%9.05momio equitativo
EV +3.84%
Ventaja +0.408%
Kelly +0.457%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.00%11.01%11.40%17.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.297.838.009.4018.90%12.77%12.50%10.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Getafe (Visitante)

Predicción 69.57%1.44momio equitativo
EV +6.45%
Ventaja +4.21%
Kelly +12.16%
Crecimiento +0.784%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.32%69.66%69.28%71.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.341.331.5381.97%74.79%75.19%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 19.38%5.16momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -0.620%
Kelly -0.775%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.65%19.32%19.32%22.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.154.654.755.0024.10%21.52%21.05%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: FC Iberia 1999 (Local): 11.05%; Getafe (Visitante): 69.57%; Empate: 19.38%. Para Getafe (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.44. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.53, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +6.45%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (17 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯5.29I 18.90%NM 17.45%EV -41.56%E -7.86%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.32%EV +6.45%E +4.21%K +12.16%G +0.784%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -19.57%E -4.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-12 17:50
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -17.15%E -2.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-12 17:50
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -0.580%E -0.064%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.27%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -3.10%E -0.620%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-12 18:20
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -11.63%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -10.85%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-12 18:25
NordicBet🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 10.10%EV +3.84%E +0.408%K +0.457%G +0.018%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.58%EV -6.01%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-12 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -6.10%E -0.718%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -6.98%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-12 18:20
Betsson🎯9.20I 10.87%NM 10.20%EV +1.63%E +0.177%K +0.199%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.04%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-12 18:25
picklebet_au🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -11.63%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.98%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-12 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -11.63%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-12 17:49
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.63%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -10.85%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-12 18:20
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -22.67%E -3.24%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-12 17:48
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -33.72%E -5.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.01%EV -7.47%E -5.61%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -18.60%E -4.43%K -5.81%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-12 18:55
ReBet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.62%EV -13.84%E -1.77%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.67%EV -8.16%E -6.18%K -25.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -10.85%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-12 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.00%EV +2.73%E +0.294%K +0.329%G +0.009%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.01%EV -8.86%E -6.76%K -28.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-12 18:25
theScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -17.15%E -2.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.41%EV -10.25%E -7.95%K -35.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -6.98%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-12 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 11.97%EV -19.91%E -2.75%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 68.31%EV -11.64%E -9.17%K -43.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -14.73%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%15.3%2026-11-12 17:48
Unibet (FR)🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 11.43%EV -18.25%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 69.34%EV -15.12%E -12.39%K -68.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.23%EV -14.73%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%18.2%2026-11-12 17:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Arbitraje (172 combinaciones) +4.17%NordicBet 9.40 (11.1%) / 1xBet 1.53 (68.1%) / Coral 5.00 (20.8%)Ver las 172 combinaciones
FC Iberia 1999 (Local)Getafe (Visitante)EmpateMargen
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (68.1%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.8%)+4.17%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (68.0%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.8%)+4.05%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.3%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.9%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.8%)+3.92%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.8%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.2%)+3.73%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.2%)+3.73%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.5%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.7%)+3.66%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.7%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.61%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.7%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.61%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.3%)+3.50%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.48%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.48%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.6%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.3%)+3.38%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.27%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.27%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.27%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.3%)+3.26%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.5%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.22%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.5%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.5%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (21.1%)+3.22%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.4%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.15%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.4%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.15%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.4%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.15%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+3.04%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+3.04%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.03%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.03%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.5%)+3.03%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.2%)+3.00%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.6%)+2.96%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+2.92%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.3%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.7%)+2.92%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.79%
Betsson🎯 9.20 (11.2%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.79%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 4.80 (21.4%)+2.77%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)picklebet_au🎯 4.80 (21.4%)+2.77%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.2%)theScore Bet🎯 4.80 (21.4%)+2.77%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)Betsson🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.54%
Coral🎯 9.00 (11.4%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.75 (21.6%)+2.54%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)SportsBet🎯 4.90 (20.9%)+2.53%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.1%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (67.0%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.90 (20.9%)+2.53%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (10.9%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)Casumo🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.32%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (10.9%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)BetMGM🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.32%
NordicBet🎯 9.40 (10.9%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)ReBet🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.32%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 8.50 (12.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.9%)NordicBet🎯 4.85 (21.1%)+2.31%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Casumo🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.20%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)BetMGM🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.20%
Marathon Bet🎯 9.30 (11.0%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)ReBet🎯 4.60 (22.2%)+2.20%
Casumo🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%
picklebet_au🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%
Unibet (UK)🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%
BetMGM🎯 8.00 (12.8%)1xBet🎯 1.53 (66.8%)Coral🎯 5.00 (20.4%)+2.19%

Mostrando 50 de 172 combinaciones