Language:English
AEK Larnaca v Crystal Palace
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AEK Larnaca (Local)
Prediction 14.22%7.03fair odd
EV +6.67%
Edge +0.889%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.068%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.87%14.26%14.35%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.616.507.5016.67%15.13%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crystal Palace (Visit)
Prediction 62.24%1.61fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -7.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.01%62.16%62.17%63.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.521.5469.44%66.32%66.01%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.54%4.25fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.447%
Kelly +0.581%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.29%23.58%23.49%25.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.933.904.3327.03%25.45%25.64%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AEK Larnaca (Local): 14.22%; Crystal Palace (Visit): 62.24%; Draw: 23.54%. For AEK Larnaca (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.03. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +6.67%E +0.889%K +1.03%G +0.068% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.69%EV -4.16%E -2.70%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -7.01%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.30%EV +2.97%E +0.410%K +0.476%G +0.014% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.93%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -4.66%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.40%E +0.334%K +0.387%G +0.009% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.88%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -4.66%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.40%E +0.334%K +0.387%G +0.009% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.88%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -4.66%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.35%EV +0.980%E +0.138%K +0.161%G +0.002% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.35%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 17:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.71%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.31%EV -4.16%E -2.70%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.77%EV -6.02%E -3.99%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -1.86%E -0.270%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.90%E -3.49%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -1.86%E -0.270%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.90%E -3.49%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.86I 14.58%NM 13.84%EV -2.43%E -0.355%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.48%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.68%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -4.71%E -0.703%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.29%EV -4.16%E -2.70%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -3.48%E -0.849%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%EV -6.13%E -0.929%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.08%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.29%EV +1.93%E +0.447%K +0.581%G +0.011% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -1.13%E -0.268%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 14:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 17:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -11.72%E -3.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.36%EV -6.02%E -3.99%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.89%E -5.33%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.68%EV -7.27%E -4.88%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.16%EV -9.14%E -6.26%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -8.98%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -6.02%E -3.99%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -8.98%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -8.98%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.51%EV -10.40%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.75%EV -7.89%E -5.33%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -9.37%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -11.82%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.96%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -10.38%E -7.21%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -11.72%E -3.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |