La scuola delle quote

AEK Larnaca v Crystal Palace

Inizio: 2026-03-19 17:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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40 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

AEK Larnaca (Casa)

Previsione 14.22%7.03quota equa
EV +6.67%
Vantaggio +0.889%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescita +0.068%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.87%14.26%14.35%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.616.507.5016.67%15.13%15.38%13.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Crystal Palace (Trasferta)

Previsione 62.24%1.61quota equa
EV -4.16%
Vantaggio -2.70%
Kelly -7.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.01%62.16%62.17%63.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.511.521.5469.44%66.32%66.01%64.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.54%4.25quota equa
EV +1.93%
Vantaggio +0.447%
Kelly +0.581%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.29%23.58%23.49%25.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.703.933.904.3327.03%25.45%25.64%23.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +6.67%E +0.889%K +1.03%G +0.068%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.69%EV -4.16%E -2.70%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -7.01%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Pinnacle7.24I 13.81%NM 13.30%EV +2.97%E +0.410%K +0.476%G +0.014%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.93%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -4.66%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 17:39
LowVig.ag7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.40%E +0.334%K +0.387%G +0.009%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.88%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -4.66%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 17:00
BetOnline.ag7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.40%E +0.334%K +0.387%G +0.009%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.88%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -4.66%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 17:00
Suprabets7.10I 14.08%NM 13.35%EV +0.980%E +0.138%K +0.161%G +0.002%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.35%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:28
Coolbet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.71%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.31%EV -4.16%E -2.70%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 16:34
Everygame7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:19
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.77%EV -6.02%E -3.99%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:19
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 17:40
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 16:34
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 17:39
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 17:39
NordicBet6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -1.86%E -0.270%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.90%E -3.49%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 15:00
Betsson6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -1.86%E -0.270%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.90%E -3.49%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 14:59
1xBet6.86I 14.58%NM 13.84%EV -2.43%E -0.355%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.48%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.68%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:39
ReBet6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -4.71%E -0.703%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.29%EV -4.16%E -2.70%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -3.48%E -0.849%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 16:59
Marathon Bet6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%EV -6.13%E -0.929%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.08%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.29%EV +1.93%E +0.447%K +0.581%G +0.011%3.6%2026-03-19 17:39
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -1.13%E -0.268%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 16:34
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 14:29
Fanatics6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 14:59
Betclic (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:33
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -11.72%E -3.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 17:40
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.36%EV -6.02%E -3.99%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 17:00
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.89%E -5.33%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 17:20
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 17:19
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.68%EV -7.27%E -4.88%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 17:39
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.16%EV -9.14%E -6.26%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-19 15:49
Parions Sport (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -8.98%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -6.02%E -3.99%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -8.98%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:35
Neds6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -8.98%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:35
Fliff6.30I 15.87%NM 14.51%EV -10.40%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.75%EV -7.89%E -5.33%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -9.37%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 17:39
NetBet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -11.82%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.96%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-19 17:00
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 13:59
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 14:29
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 17:20
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 17:19
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 17:20
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 17:19
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -10.38%E -7.21%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -11.72%E -3.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-19 17:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-03-19 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-03-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-03-19 17:39