La escuela de los momiosEspañol
AEK Larnaca v Crystal Palace
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AEK Larnaca (Local)
Predicción 14.22%7.03momio equitativo
EV +6.67%
Ventaja +0.889%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.068%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.87%14.26%14.35%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.616.507.5016.67%15.13%15.38%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Crystal Palace (Visitante)
Predicción 62.24%1.61momio equitativo
EV -4.16%
Ventaja -2.70%
Kelly -7.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.01%62.16%62.17%63.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.521.5469.44%66.32%66.01%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.54%4.25momio equitativo
EV +1.93%
Ventaja +0.447%
Kelly +0.581%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.29%23.58%23.49%25.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.703.933.904.3327.03%25.45%25.64%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +6.67%E +0.889%K +1.03%G +0.068% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.69%EV -4.16%E -2.70%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -7.01%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Pinnacle | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.30%EV +2.97%E +0.410%K +0.476%G +0.014% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.93%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -4.66%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.40%E +0.334%K +0.387%G +0.009% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.88%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -4.66%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.40%E +0.334%K +0.387%G +0.009% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.88%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -4.66%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Suprabets | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.35%EV +0.980%E +0.138%K +0.161%G +0.002% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.35%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 17:28 |
| Coolbet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.71%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.31%EV -4.16%E -2.70%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| Everygame | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| DraftKings | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.77%EV -6.02%E -3.99%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Unibet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Bet Victor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -1.86%E -0.270%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.90%E -3.49%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 15:00 |
| Betsson | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -1.86%E -0.270%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.90%E -3.49%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 14:59 |
| 1xBet | 6.86I 14.58%NM 13.84%EV -2.43%E -0.355%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.48%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.68%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| ReBet | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -4.71%E -0.703%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.29%EV -4.16%E -2.70%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -3.48%E -0.849%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%EV -6.13%E -0.929%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.08%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.29%EV +1.93%E +0.447%K +0.581%G +0.011% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| theScore Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -1.13%E -0.268%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| Coral | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 14:29 |
| Fanatics | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 17:33 |
| PlayUp | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -11.72%E -3.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Bet Right | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.36%EV -6.02%E -3.99%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.89%E -5.33%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 17:20 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Bovada | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.68%EV -7.27%E -4.88%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.16%EV -9.14%E -6.26%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -8.98%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -6.02%E -3.99%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -8.98%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 16:35 |
| Neds | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -8.98%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 16:35 |
| Fliff | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.51%EV -10.40%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.75%EV -7.89%E -5.33%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -9.37%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -11.82%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.96%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 14:29 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 17:20 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Sky Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -10.38%E -7.21%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -11.72%E -3.13%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |