L’École des cotes

AEK Larnaca v Crystal Palace

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AEK Larnaca (Local)

Prévision 14.22%7.03cote équitable
EV +6.67%
Avantage +0.889%
Kelly +1.03%
Croissance +0.068%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.87%14.26%14.35%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.616.507.5016.67%15.13%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Crystal Palace (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.24%1.61cote équitable
EV -4.16%
Avantage -2.70%
Kelly -7.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.01%62.16%62.17%63.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.521.5469.44%66.32%66.01%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.54%4.25cote équitable
EV +1.93%
Avantage +0.447%
Kelly +0.581%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.29%23.58%23.49%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.703.933.904.3327.03%25.45%25.64%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +6.67%E +0.889%K +1.03%G +0.068%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.69%EV -4.16%E -2.70%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -7.01%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Pinnacle7.24I 13.81%NM 13.30%EV +2.97%E +0.410%K +0.476%G +0.014%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.93%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -4.66%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 17:39
LowVig.ag7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.40%E +0.334%K +0.387%G +0.009%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.88%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -4.66%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 17:00
BetOnline.ag7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.40%E +0.334%K +0.387%G +0.009%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.88%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -4.66%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 17:00
Suprabets7.10I 14.08%NM 13.35%EV +0.980%E +0.138%K +0.161%G +0.002%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.35%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:28
Coolbet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.71%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.31%EV -4.16%E -2.70%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 16:34
Everygame7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:19
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.77%EV -6.02%E -3.99%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:19
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 17:40
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 16:34
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 17:39
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.442%E -0.063%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 17:39
NordicBet6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -1.86%E -0.270%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.90%E -3.49%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 15:00
Betsson6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -1.86%E -0.270%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.90%E -3.49%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 14:59
1xBet6.86I 14.58%NM 13.84%EV -2.43%E -0.355%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.48%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.68%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:39
ReBet6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -4.71%E -0.703%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.29%EV -4.16%E -2.70%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -3.48%E -0.849%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 16:59
Marathon Bet6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%EV -6.13%E -0.929%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.08%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.29%EV +1.93%E +0.447%K +0.581%G +0.011%3.6%2026-03-19 17:39
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -1.13%E -0.268%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 16:34
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 14:29
Fanatics6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.78%E -3.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 14:59
Betclic (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:33
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -11.72%E -3.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 17:40
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.36%EV -6.02%E -3.99%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 17:00
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.89%E -5.33%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 17:20
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 17:19
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.68%EV -7.27%E -4.88%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 17:39
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -7.55%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.16%EV -9.14%E -6.26%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-19 15:49
Parions Sport (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -8.98%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -6.02%E -3.99%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -8.98%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:35
Neds6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -8.98%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -5.40%E -3.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:35
Fliff6.30I 15.87%NM 14.51%EV -10.40%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.75%EV -7.89%E -5.33%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -9.37%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 17:39
NetBet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -11.82%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.96%EV -8.51%E -5.79%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-19 17:00
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 13:59
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 14:29
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 17:20
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 17:19
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 17:20
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.65%E -4.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.19%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 17:19
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -14.66%E -2.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -10.38%E -7.21%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -11.72%E -3.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-19 17:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-03-19 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-03-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-03-19 17:39