赔率学院

Lyon v Arsenal

开赛时间: 2026-05-02 13:00 UTC

最终结果: Lyon 3–1 Arsenal

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Lyon (主队)

预测 58.56%1.71公平赔率
EV -5.14%
优势 -3.17%
Kelly -8.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布
55.33%58.45%58.49%60.24%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.471.561.571.6268.03%63.99%63.69%61.73%MIN均值中位数MAX

Arsenal (客队)

预测 19.50%5.13公平赔率
EV +2.37%
优势 +0.452%
Kelly +0.558%
增长率 +0.013%

假设最高赔率为 5.25

博彩公司预测分布
18.13%19.51%19.59%21.25%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.254.734.755.2523.53%21.16%21.05%19.05%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 21.95%4.56公平赔率
EV -2.34%
优势 -0.527%
Kelly -0.679%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.45

博彩公司预测分布
20.76%22.04%21.92%23.59%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.804.054.004.4526.32%24.69%25.00%22.47%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV +2.37%E +0.452%K +0.558%G +0.013%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.44%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 12:45
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.05%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -0.552%E -0.108%K -0.135%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 12:20
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.69%EV -2.11%E -0.421%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -4.54%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 12:16
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.50%E -0.500%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 12:40
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.50%E -0.500%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 12:40
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.50%E -0.500%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 12:40
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.50%E -0.500%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 12:40
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.50%E -0.500%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 12:40
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.50%E -0.500%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 12:40
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.83%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 12:55
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.73%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 12:55
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -9.24%E -5.96%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -14.41%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -15.51%E -4.03%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 12:40
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -15.51%E -4.03%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 12:40
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.37%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.38%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -8.93%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 12:55
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.37%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.38%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -8.93%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 12:55
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.30%EV -11.58%E -7.67%K -22.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -7.38%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -16.61%E -4.37%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 12:40
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.14%EV -13.92%E -9.47%K -29.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.81%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -7.83%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-02 12:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -8.65%E -5.55%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.02%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 12:54
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.40%EV -11.00%E -7.23%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.84%EV -11.28%E -2.48%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV -4.54%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 12:55
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.83%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 12:55
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -9.24%E -5.96%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -14.41%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 12:55
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 12:20
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -14.41%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 12:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -14.41%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 12:55
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -14.41%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 12:55
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.73%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -14.20%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -2.34%E -0.527%K -0.679%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 12:55
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -12.17%E -8.11%K -24.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -15.57%E -3.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-30 23:59
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 57.77%EV -12.17%E -8.11%K -24.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -15.57%E -3.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -14.41%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-02 12:20
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 55.33%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.09%EV -17.13%E -4.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -16.61%E -4.37%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 12:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92%1.4%2026-05-02 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%1.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.50%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.84%1.7%2026-05-02 12:55
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 58.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%4.1%2026-05-02 12:55