Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Lyon v Arsenal
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Lyon (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 58.56%1.71kurs godziwy
EV -5.14%
Przewaga -3.17%
Kelly -8.29%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.33%58.45%58.49%60.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.471.561.571.6268.03%63.99%63.69%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Arsenal (Goście)
Prognoza 19.50%5.13kurs godziwy
EV +2.37%
Przewaga +0.452%
Kelly +0.558%
Wzrost +0.013%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.13%19.51%19.59%21.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.254.734.755.2523.53%21.16%21.05%19.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 21.95%4.56kurs godziwy
EV -2.34%
Przewaga -0.527%
Kelly -0.679%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.45
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.76%22.04%21.92%23.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.804.054.004.4526.32%24.69%25.00%22.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (30 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV +2.37%E +0.452%K +0.558%G +0.013% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.44%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.05%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -0.552%E -0.108%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.69%EV -2.11%E -0.421%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -4.54%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 12:16 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.50%E -0.500%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.50%E -0.500%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.50%E -0.500%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.50%E -0.500%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.50%E -0.500%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.50%E -0.500%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.83%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.73%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -9.24%E -5.96%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -14.41%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -15.51%E -4.03%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -15.51%E -4.03%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.37%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.38%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -8.93%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.37%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.38%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -8.93%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.30%EV -11.58%E -7.67%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -7.38%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -16.61%E -4.37%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.14%EV -13.92%E -9.47%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.81%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -7.83%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -8.65%E -5.55%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.02%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 12:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.40%EV -11.00%E -7.23%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.84%EV -11.28%E -2.48%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV -4.54%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.83%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -9.24%E -5.96%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -14.41%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -14.41%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -14.41%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -14.41%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.73%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -14.20%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -2.34%E -0.527%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -12.17%E -8.11%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -15.57%E -3.60%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.77%EV -12.17%E -8.11%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -15.57%E -3.60%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -14.41%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-02 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.33%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.09%EV -17.13%E -4.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -16.61%E -4.37%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (4)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.36% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.93% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.50% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.84% | 1.7% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.57% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |