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Barcelona v Bayern Munich
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Barcelona (Casa)
Previsione 82.98%1.21quota equa
EV -5.40%
Vantaggio -4.74%
Kelly -38.60%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.14
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.10%83.08%83.08%85.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.051.091.101.1495.24%91.34%90.91%87.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Bayern Munich (Trasferta)
Previsione 6.18%16.19quota equa
EV +17.60%
Vantaggio +0.924%
Kelly +0.976%
Crescita +0.172%
ipotizzando la quota massima 19.04
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
4.96%6.31%6.12%9.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
10.0015.7415.2519.0410.00%6.36%6.56%5.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 10.84%9.22quota equa
EV +13.87%
Vantaggio +1.32%
Kelly +1.46%
Crescita +0.202%
ipotizzando la quota massima 10.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.00%10.61%10.80%11.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.758.658.5010.5012.90%11.56%11.76%9.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.10%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV -1.18%E -0.074%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +13.87%E +1.32%K +1.46%G +0.202% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.93%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 19.04I 5.25%NM 4.96%EV +17.60%E +0.924%K +0.976%G +0.172% | 10.38I 9.63%NM 9.11%EV +12.56%E +1.21%K +1.34%G +0.168% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +17.35%E +0.913%K +0.964%G +0.167% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +3.02%E +0.318%K +0.356%G +0.011% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.10%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -38.24%E -3.82%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 9.89%EV -1.32%E -0.145%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Casumo | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Unibet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| betPARX | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.52%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV +5.00%E +0.294%K +0.313%G +0.016% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV -5.11%E -0.584%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Bovada | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.04%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.52%EV -13.53%E -0.966%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.44%EV -5.11%E -0.584%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 14:19 |
| 888sport | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| William Hill | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -9.55%E -8.76%K -106.14%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +5.00%E +0.294%K +0.313%G +0.016% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 11:39 |
| Betway | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -19.71%E -1.52%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 13:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.12%EV -11.21%E -10.48%K -160.18%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.29%EV +5.00%E +0.294%K +0.313%G +0.016% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.04%EV -10.38%E -9.61%K -129.78%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.41%EV -13.53%E -0.966%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.66%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.70%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.57%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV -13.53%E -0.966%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 10.94%EV -9.99%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 14:11 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.22%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.70%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.08%EV -10.44%E -0.720%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.69%EV -10.53%E -1.28%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.75%EV -16.62%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.12%EV -11.08%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 14:11 |
| Betsson | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.75%EV -16.62%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.12%EV -11.08%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 14:11 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.06%E -6.31%K -58.86%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -13.24%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.70%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV +5.00%E +0.294%K +0.313%G +0.016% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -13.24%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.70%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV +5.00%E +0.294%K +0.313%G +0.016% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -13.24%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.10%EV -10.38%E -9.61%K -129.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -19.71%E -1.52%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.08%EV -13.24%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 83.55%EV -12.87%E -12.26%K -257.44%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.48%EV -1.18%E -0.074%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -13.24%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 15.25I 6.56%NM 5.99%EV -5.81%E -0.381%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.78%EV -15.96%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 14:18 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.41% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.41% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.49% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.60% | 21.01I 4.76%NM 4.64% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76% | 2.5% | 2026-05-03 14:21 |