L’École des cotesFrançais
Barcelona v Bayern Munich
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Barcelona (Local)
Prévision 82.98%1.21cote équitable
EV -5.40%
Avantage -4.74%
Kelly -38.60%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.10%83.08%83.08%85.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.091.101.1495.24%91.34%90.91%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Bayern Munich (Visiteur)
Prévision 6.18%16.19cote équitable
EV +17.60%
Avantage +0.924%
Kelly +0.976%
Croissance +0.172%
avec la cote maximale 19.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.96%6.31%6.12%9.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.0015.7415.2519.0410.00%6.36%6.56%5.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 10.84%9.22cote équitable
EV +13.87%
Avantage +1.32%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.202%
avec la cote maximale 10.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.00%10.61%10.80%11.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.758.658.5010.5012.90%11.56%11.76%9.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.10%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV -1.18%E -0.074%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +13.87%E +1.32%K +1.46%G +0.202% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.93%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 19.04I 5.25%NM 4.96%EV +17.60%E +0.924%K +0.976%G +0.172% | 10.38I 9.63%NM 9.11%EV +12.56%E +1.21%K +1.34%G +0.168% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +17.35%E +0.913%K +0.964%G +0.167% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +3.02%E +0.318%K +0.356%G +0.011% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.10%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -38.24%E -3.82%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 9.89%EV -1.32%E -0.145%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Casumo | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Unibet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| betPARX | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.52%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV +5.00%E +0.294%K +0.313%G +0.016% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV -5.11%E -0.584%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Bovada | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.04%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.52%EV -13.53%E -0.966%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.44%EV -5.11%E -0.584%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 14:19 |
| 888sport | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| William Hill | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -9.55%E -8.76%K -106.14%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +5.00%E +0.294%K +0.313%G +0.016% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 11:39 |
| Betway | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -19.71%E -1.52%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 13:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.12%EV -11.21%E -10.48%K -160.18%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.29%EV +5.00%E +0.294%K +0.313%G +0.016% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.04%EV -10.38%E -9.61%K -129.78%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.41%EV -13.53%E -0.966%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.66%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.70%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.57%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV -13.53%E -0.966%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 10.94%EV -9.99%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 14:11 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.22%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.70%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.08%EV -10.44%E -0.720%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.69%EV -10.53%E -1.28%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.75%EV -16.62%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.12%EV -11.08%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 14:11 |
| Betsson | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.75%EV -16.62%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.12%EV -11.08%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 14:11 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.06%E -6.31%K -58.86%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -13.24%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.70%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV +5.00%E +0.294%K +0.313%G +0.016% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -13.24%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.70%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV +5.00%E +0.294%K +0.313%G +0.016% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -13.24%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.10%EV -10.38%E -9.61%K -129.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -19.71%E -1.52%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.08%EV -13.24%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 83.55%EV -12.87%E -12.26%K -257.44%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.48%EV -1.18%E -0.074%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -13.24%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 15.25I 6.56%NM 5.99%EV -5.81%E -0.381%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.78%EV -15.96%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 14:18 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.41% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.41% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.49% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.60% | 21.01I 4.76%NM 4.64% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76% | 2.5% | 2026-05-03 14:21 |