مدرسة الاحتمالاتBarcelona v Bayern Munich
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Barcelona (المضيف)
التنبؤ 82.98%1.21السعر العادل
EV -5.40%
الأفضلية -4.74%
Kelly -38.60%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.14
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
81.10%83.08%83.08%85.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.051.091.101.1495.24%91.34%90.91%87.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Bayern Munich (الضيف)
التنبؤ 6.18%16.19السعر العادل
EV +17.60%
الأفضلية +0.924%
Kelly +0.976%
النمو +0.172%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 19.04
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
4.96%6.31%6.12%9.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
10.0015.7415.2519.0410.00%6.36%6.56%5.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 10.84%9.22السعر العادل
EV +13.87%
الأفضلية +1.32%
Kelly +1.46%
النمو +0.202%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.50
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.00%10.61%10.80%11.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.758.658.5010.5012.90%11.56%11.76%9.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (31 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.10%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV -1.18%E -0.074%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +13.87%E +1.32%K +1.46%G +0.202% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.93%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 19.04I 5.25%NM 4.96%EV +17.60%E +0.924%K +0.976%G +0.172% | 10.38I 9.63%NM 9.11%EV +12.56%E +1.21%K +1.34%G +0.168% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +17.35%E +0.913%K +0.964%G +0.167% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +3.02%E +0.318%K +0.356%G +0.011% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.10%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -38.24%E -3.82%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 9.89%EV -1.32%E -0.145%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Casumo | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Unibet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| betPARX | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +11.18%E +0.621%K +0.657%G +0.073% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -2.40%E -0.267%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.52%EV -5.40%E -4.74%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV +5.00%E +0.294%K +0.313%G +0.016% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV -5.11%E -0.584%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Bovada | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.04%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.52%EV -13.53%E -0.966%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.44%EV -5.11%E -0.584%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 14:19 |
| 888sport | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| William Hill | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -9.55%E -8.76%K -106.14%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV +5.00%E +0.294%K +0.313%G +0.016% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 11:39 |
| Betway | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -19.71%E -1.52%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 13:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.12%EV -11.21%E -10.48%K -160.18%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.29%EV +5.00%E +0.294%K +0.313%G +0.016% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.04%EV -10.38%E -9.61%K -129.78%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.41%EV -13.53%E -0.966%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.66%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.70%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -7.82%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.57%EV -8.72%E -7.93%K -87.23%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV -13.53%E -0.966%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 10.94%EV -9.99%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 14:11 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.22%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.70%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.08%EV -10.44%E -0.720%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.69%EV -10.53%E -1.28%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.75%EV -16.62%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.12%EV -11.08%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 14:11 |
| Betsson | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.75%EV -16.62%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.12%EV -11.08%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 14:11 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.06%E -6.31%K -58.86%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -7.35%E -0.490%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -13.24%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.70%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV +5.00%E +0.294%K +0.313%G +0.016% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -13.24%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -12.04%E -11.36%K -200.70%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV +5.00%E +0.294%K +0.313%G +0.016% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -13.24%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.10%EV -10.38%E -9.61%K -129.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -19.71%E -1.52%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.08%EV -13.24%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 83.55%EV -12.87%E -12.26%K -257.44%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.48%EV -1.18%E -0.074%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -13.24%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.89%E -7.11%K -71.76%G +0.000% | 15.25I 6.56%NM 5.99%EV -5.81%E -0.381%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.78%EV -15.96%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 14:18 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.41% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.41% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.49% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.60% | 21.01I 4.76%NM 4.64% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76% | 2.5% | 2026-05-03 14:21 |