The School of Odds

Universitatea Craiova v FC Vitebsk

2026-07-15 17:30 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Universitatea Craiova (Local)

Prediction 73.13%1.37fair odd
EV -5.67%
Edge -4.39%
Kelly -19.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.36%73.45%73.13%75.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2982%80%80%78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Vitebsk (Visit)

Prediction 10.23%9.77fair odd
EV +27.88%
Edge +2.23%
Kelly +2.42%
Growth +0.676%

assuming max odds 12.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.47%9.70%10.23%10.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
8.509.679.0012.5012%10%11%8%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 16.64%6.01fair odd
EV -0.133%
Edge -0.022%
Kelly -0.027%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.50%16.85%16.64%19.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.755.495.506.0021%18%18%17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -9.32%E -7.52%K -38.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV +27.88%E +2.23%K +2.42%G +0.676%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -10.12%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 12:14
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.97%EV -8.59%E -6.87%K -34.37%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.68%EV +24.81%E +2.03%K +2.22%G +0.550%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -10.12%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 12:34
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -8.59%E -6.87%K -34.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +12.54%E +1.14%K +1.25%G +0.157%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -4.29%E -0.747%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 12:00
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 72.63%EV -8.59%E -6.87%K -34.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +12.54%E +1.14%K +1.25%G +0.157%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -20.94%E -4.41%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 12:15
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -7.13%E -5.62%K -26.41%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV -5.37%E -0.580%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -0.133%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 12:39
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -7.13%E -5.62%K -26.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.93%E -0.881%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -4.29%E -0.747%K -0.904%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 13:10
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -5.67%E -4.39%K -19.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -7.93%E -0.881%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -16.78%E -3.36%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 11:35
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -5.67%E -4.39%K -19.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -7.93%E -0.881%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -16.78%E -3.36%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 11:34
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -9.32%E -7.52%K -38.85%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.48%EV -10.48%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.55%EV -1.80%E -0.305%K -0.367%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 12:39
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 72.60%EV -7.86%E -6.24%K -30.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -13.04%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -8.46%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-10 12:40
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.74%EV -9.32%E -7.52%K -38.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -13.04%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -1.80%E -0.305%K -0.367%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-10 12:40
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.79%E -8.84%K -49.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -13.04%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -8.46%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 12:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.79%E -8.84%K -49.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -13.04%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -8.46%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 12:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-10 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-10 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-10 12:45