La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Universitatea Craiova v FC Vitebsk
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Universitatea Craiova (Local)
Predicción 69.62%1.44momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -4.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.75%69.52%70.13%74.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.231.301.281.4181.30%76.80%78.13%70.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Vitebsk (Visitante)
Predicción 11.35%8.81momio equitativo
EV +24.80%
Ventaja +2.25%
Kelly +2.48%
Crecimiento +0.615%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.50%11.46%11.17%15.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.009.099.0011.0016.67%11.00%11.11%9.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.04%5.25momio equitativo
EV +2.80%
Ventaja +0.519%
Kelly +0.637%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.31%19.02%18.70%20.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.095.255.4022.22%19.64%19.05%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| Casumo | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -14.37%E -11.68%K -62.48%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.67%EV +19.13%E +1.82%K +2.01%G +0.385% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -14.37%E -11.68%K -62.48%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.67%EV +19.13%E +1.82%K +2.01%G +0.385% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.11%EV -10.19%E -7.90%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +2.11%E +0.234%K +0.263%G +0.006% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +0.901%E +0.170%K +0.210%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-15 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.71%E -5.01%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +2.11%E +0.234%K +0.263%G +0.006% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -14.33%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-15 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.71%E -5.01%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +2.11%E +0.234%K +0.263%G +0.006% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -14.33%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-15 17:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.94%EV -10.89%E -8.51%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -0.729%E -0.083%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-15 17:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -12.98%E -10.38%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -3.57%E -0.419%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-15 17:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.56%EV -10.89%E -8.51%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.01%EV -6.97%E -0.850%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -6.71%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-15 17:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -9.24%E -1.15%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 17:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -12.98%E -10.38%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -9.24%E -1.15%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-15 17:09 |
| Bovada | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.77%EV -1.84%E -1.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -12.07%E -1.56%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -8.62%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-15 17:13 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -14.91%E -1.99%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-15 17:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.11%E -6.14%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -14.91%E -1.99%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-15 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.11%EV -3.23%E -2.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -16.05%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.43%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-15 17:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -1.84%E -1.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.28I 13.74%NM 12.88%EV -17.41%E -2.39%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.61%EV -13.38%E -2.94%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-15 17:11 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -20.58%E -2.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-15 17:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -20.58%E -2.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-15 17:14 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.30%EV -2.54%E -1.81%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.86%EV -22.85%E -3.36%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 17:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -2.54%E -1.81%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -31.93%E -5.32%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.33%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-15 17:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.09% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.76% | 0.5% | 2026-07-15 17:12 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.23% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 1.1% | 2026-07-15 17:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.23% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 1.1% | 2026-07-15 17:12 |