A Escola das Odds

Universitatea Craiova v FC Vitebsk

Início: 2026-07-15 17:30 UTC

Final: Universitatea Craiova 1–0 FC Vitebsk

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

29 casas de apostas (5 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Universitatea Craiova (Local)

Previsão 69.62%1.44odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -4.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.75%69.52%70.13%74.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.231.301.281.4181.30%76.80%78.13%70.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Vitebsk (Visitante)

Previsão 11.35%8.81odd justa
EV +24.80%
Vantagem +2.25%
Kelly +2.48%
Crescimento +0.615%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.50%11.46%11.17%15.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.009.099.0011.0016.67%11.00%11.11%9.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 19.04%5.25odd justa
EV +2.80%
Vantagem +0.519%
Kelly +0.637%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.31%19.02%18.70%20.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.095.255.4022.22%19.64%19.05%18.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (29 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018%7.0%2026-07-14 23:25
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018%7.0%2026-07-14 23:24
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018%7.0%2026-07-14 23:24
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018%7.0%2026-07-14 23:24
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018%7.0%2026-07-14 23:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018%7.0%2026-07-14 23:24
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018%7.0%2026-07-14 23:24
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018%7.0%2026-07-14 23:24
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018%7.0%2026-07-14 23:24
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018%7.0%2026-07-14 23:24
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -14.37%E -11.68%K -62.48%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.67%EV +19.13%E +1.82%K +2.01%G +0.385%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-14 23:24
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -14.37%E -11.68%K -62.48%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.67%EV +19.13%E +1.82%K +2.01%G +0.385%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-14 23:24
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.11%EV -10.19%E -7.90%K -35.15%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +2.11%E +0.234%K +0.263%G +0.006%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +0.901%E +0.170%K +0.210%G +0.002%7.5%2026-07-15 17:09
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.71%E -5.01%K -19.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +2.11%E +0.234%K +0.263%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -14.33%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 17:09
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.71%E -5.01%K -19.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +2.11%E +0.234%K +0.263%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -14.33%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 17:10
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.94%EV -10.89%E -8.51%K -38.89%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -0.729%E -0.083%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-15 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -12.98%E -10.38%K -51.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -3.57%E -0.419%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-15 17:08
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.56%EV -10.89%E -8.51%K -38.89%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.01%EV -6.97%E -0.850%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -6.71%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-15 17:14
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -9.24%E -1.15%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 17:14
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -12.98%E -10.38%K -51.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -9.24%E -1.15%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-15 17:09
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 67.77%EV -1.84%E -1.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -12.07%E -1.56%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -8.62%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 17:13
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -14.91%E -1.99%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-15 17:10
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.11%E -6.14%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -14.91%E -1.99%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-15 17:09
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.11%EV -3.23%E -2.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -16.05%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.43%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-15 17:14
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -1.84%E -1.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 12.88%EV -17.41%E -2.39%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.61%EV -13.38%E -2.94%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-15 17:11
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -20.58%E -2.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-15 17:14
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -20.58%E -2.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-15 17:14
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.30%EV -2.54%E -1.81%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.86%EV -22.85%E -3.36%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 17:14
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -2.54%E -1.81%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -31.93%E -5.32%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.33%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-15 17:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.09%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.76%0.5%2026-07-15 17:12
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.23%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.1%2026-07-15 17:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.23%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.1%2026-07-15 17:12