L’École des cotesFrançais
Universitatea Craiova v FC Vitebsk
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Universitatea Craiova (Local)
Prévision 69.62%1.44cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -4.49%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.41
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.75%69.52%70.13%74.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.231.301.281.4181.30%76.80%78.13%70.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Vitebsk (Visiteur)
Prévision 11.35%8.81cote équitable
EV +24.80%
Avantage +2.25%
Kelly +2.48%
Croissance +0.615%
avec la cote maximale 11.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.50%11.46%11.17%15.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.009.099.0011.0016.67%11.00%11.11%9.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 19.04%5.25cote équitable
EV +2.80%
Avantage +0.519%
Kelly +0.637%
Croissance +0.018%
avec la cote maximale 5.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.31%19.02%18.70%20.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.095.255.4022.22%19.64%19.05%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| Casumo | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -12.28%E -9.75%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +24.80%E +2.25%K +2.48%G +0.615% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +2.80%E +0.519%K +0.637%G +0.018% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -14.37%E -11.68%K -62.48%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.67%EV +19.13%E +1.82%K +2.01%G +0.385% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -14.37%E -11.68%K -62.48%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.67%EV +19.13%E +1.82%K +2.01%G +0.385% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-14 23:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.11%EV -10.19%E -7.90%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +2.11%E +0.234%K +0.263%G +0.006% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +0.901%E +0.170%K +0.210%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-15 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.71%E -5.01%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +2.11%E +0.234%K +0.263%G +0.006% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -14.33%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-15 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.71%E -5.01%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV +2.11%E +0.234%K +0.263%G +0.006% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -14.33%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-15 17:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.94%EV -10.89%E -8.51%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -0.729%E -0.083%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-15 17:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -12.98%E -10.38%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -3.57%E -0.419%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-15 17:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.56%EV -10.89%E -8.51%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.01%EV -6.97%E -0.850%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -6.71%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-15 17:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -9.24%E -1.15%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -0.051%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 17:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -12.98%E -10.38%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -9.24%E -1.15%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-15 17:09 |
| Bovada | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.77%EV -1.84%E -1.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -12.07%E -1.56%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -8.62%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-15 17:13 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -14.91%E -1.99%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-15 17:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.11%E -6.14%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -14.91%E -1.99%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-15 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.11%EV -3.23%E -2.33%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -16.05%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.43%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-15 17:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -1.84%E -1.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.28I 13.74%NM 12.88%EV -17.41%E -2.39%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.61%EV -13.38%E -2.94%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-15 17:11 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -20.58%E -2.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-15 17:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -20.58%E -2.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-15 17:14 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.30%EV -2.54%E -1.81%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.86%EV -22.85%E -3.36%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.81%E -0.962%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 17:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -2.54%E -1.81%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -31.93%E -5.32%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.33%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-15 17:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.09% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.76% | 0.5% | 2026-07-15 17:12 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.23% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 1.1% | 2026-07-15 17:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.23% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 1.1% | 2026-07-15 17:12 |