Language:English
Sparta Prague v Lyon
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sparta Prague (Local)
Prediction 31.78%3.15fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.048%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.76%31.92%31.95%34.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.023.003.2537.04%33.12%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lyon (Visit)
Prediction 40.95%2.44fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.74%41.01%40.84%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.192.152.4051.81%45.64%46.51%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.27%3.67fair odd
EV +0.885%
Edge +0.239%
Kelly +0.328%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%27.07%27.21%27.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.493.503.7030.77%28.65%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sparta Prague (Local): 31.78%; Lyon (Visit): 40.95%; Draw: 27.27%. For Sparta Prague (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV +1.71%E +0.533%K +0.775%G +0.013% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -16.05%E -7.83%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV +1.71%E +0.533%K +0.775%G +0.013% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -16.05%E -7.83%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV +1.71%E +0.533%K +0.775%G +0.013% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -16.46%E -8.07%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -3.20%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV +0.116%E +0.037%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -17.28%E -8.55%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV +0.116%E +0.037%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -17.28%E -8.55%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.32%EV -1.47%E -0.475%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.79%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.90%EV -5.11%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.47%E -0.475%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +0.885%E +0.239%K +0.328%G +0.003% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.47%E -0.475%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -3.06%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.45%EV -20.97%E -10.86%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.66%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -14.00%E -6.67%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -3.20%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.08%EV -5.60%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.38%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.08%EV -5.60%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.38%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.40%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.67%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -3.20%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -7.19%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -7.19%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.86%E -3.49%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -14.00%E -6.67%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -9.42%E -3.30%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -1.72%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.42%E -3.30%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.20%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.73%EV -10.37%E -3.68%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.14%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.13%EV -0.751%E -0.206%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -14.00%E -6.67%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-04 17:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -6.63%E -2.91%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.19%E -5.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.19%E -5.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.69% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.73% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.69% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.73% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
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