Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sparta Prague v Lyon

2026-08-04 18:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sparta Prague (Local)

Prediction 23.58%4.24fair odd
EV -0.747%
Edge -0.177%
Kelly -0.233%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.81%23.68%23.51%24.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.833.804.2127.78%26.09%26.32%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lyon (Visit)

Prediction 50.38%1.98fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.903%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.26%50.31%50.51%51.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.861.881.9557.14%53.76%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.05%3.84fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -0.981%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.89%26.01%25.98%27.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.553.7030.30%28.39%28.17%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet4.21I 23.75%NM 22.81%EV -0.747%E -0.177%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.81%EV -4.78%E -2.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.38%EV -5.19%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 10:40
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 09:15
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.76%E -0.903%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 11:25
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.76%E -0.903%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 11:25
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 09:15
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 12:15
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.34%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-30 09:15
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-30 09:14
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -11.33%E -6.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-30 11:10
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%EV -4.78%E -2.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:10
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%EV -4.78%E -2.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%EV -4.78%E -2.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:09
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%EV -4.78%E -2.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:09
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%EV -4.78%E -2.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:12
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%EV -4.78%E -2.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:09
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%EV -4.78%E -2.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:09
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%EV -4.78%E -2.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:10
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%EV -4.78%E -2.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 09:09
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 09:09
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-30 09:15
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-30 09:25
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -11.84%E -6.76%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-30 12:45
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-30 09:10
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-30 09:09
PlayUp3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -5.79%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -14.05%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-30 10:30
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -15.13%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.22%EV -9.82%E -5.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -12.75%E -3.81%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-30 09:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.