Langue:Français
Sparta Prague v Lyon
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sparta Prague (Local)
Prévision 31.78%3.15cote équitable
EV +3.29%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.048%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.76%31.92%31.95%34.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.023.003.2537.04%33.12%33.33%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lyon (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.95%2.44cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -0.716%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.74%41.01%40.84%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.192.152.4051.81%45.64%46.51%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.27%3.67cote équitable
EV +0.885%
Avantage +0.239%
Kelly +0.328%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.53%27.07%27.21%27.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.493.503.7030.77%28.65%28.57%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sparta Prague (Local) : 31.78% ; Lyon (Visiteur) : 40.95% ; Match nul : 27.27%. Pour Sparta Prague (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.15. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +3.29%.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV +1.71%E +0.533%K +0.775%G +0.013% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -16.05%E -7.83%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV +1.71%E +0.533%K +0.775%G +0.013% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -16.05%E -7.83%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV +1.71%E +0.533%K +0.775%G +0.013% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -16.46%E -8.07%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -3.20%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV +0.116%E +0.037%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -17.28%E -8.55%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV +0.116%E +0.037%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -17.28%E -8.55%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.32%EV -1.47%E -0.475%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.79%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.90%EV -5.11%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.47%E -0.475%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +0.885%E +0.239%K +0.328%G +0.003% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.47%E -0.475%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -3.06%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.45%EV -20.97%E -10.86%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.66%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -14.00%E -6.67%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -3.20%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.08%EV -5.60%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.38%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.08%EV -5.60%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.38%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.40%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.67%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -3.20%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -7.19%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -7.19%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.86%E -3.49%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -14.00%E -6.67%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -9.42%E -3.30%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -1.72%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.42%E -3.30%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.20%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.73%EV -10.37%E -3.68%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.14%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.13%EV -0.751%E -0.206%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -14.00%E -6.67%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-04 17:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -6.63%E -2.91%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.19%E -5.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.19%E -5.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.69% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.73% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.69% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.73% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |