语言:简体中文
Sparta Prague v Lyon
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sparta Prague (主队)
预测 31.78%3.15公平赔率
EV +3.29%
优势 +1.01%
Kelly +1.46%
增长率 +0.048%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
28.76%31.92%31.95%34.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.703.023.003.2537.04%33.12%33.33%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lyon (客队)
预测 40.95%2.44公平赔率
EV -1.72%
优势 -0.716%
Kelly -1.23%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.40
博彩公司预测分布
38.74%41.01%40.84%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.932.192.152.4051.81%45.64%46.51%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.27%3.67公平赔率
EV +0.885%
优势 +0.239%
Kelly +0.328%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 3.70
博彩公司预测分布
25.53%27.07%27.21%27.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.493.503.7030.77%28.65%28.57%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sparta Prague (主队)：31.78%；Lyon (客队)：40.95%；平局：27.27%。 对于“Sparta Prague (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.15。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.25，对应+3.29%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV +3.29%E +1.01%K +1.46%G +0.048% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -15.23%E -7.36%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV +1.71%E +0.533%K +0.775%G +0.013% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -16.05%E -7.83%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV +1.71%E +0.533%K +0.775%G +0.013% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -16.05%E -7.83%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV +1.71%E +0.533%K +0.775%G +0.013% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -16.46%E -8.07%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -3.20%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV +0.116%E +0.037%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -17.28%E -8.55%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV +0.116%E +0.037%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -17.28%E -8.55%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.32%EV -1.47%E -0.475%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.79%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.90%EV -5.11%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.47%E -0.475%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +0.885%E +0.239%K +0.328%G +0.003% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.47%E -0.475%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.512%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -3.06%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.45%EV -20.97%E -10.86%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.66%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -14.00%E -6.67%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -3.20%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.08%EV -5.60%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.38%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.08%EV -5.60%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.38%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.40%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.67%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -3.20%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -7.19%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -7.19%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.86%E -3.49%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -14.00%E -6.67%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -9.42%E -3.30%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -1.72%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.42%E -3.30%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -3.20%E -0.903%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.73%EV -10.37%E -3.68%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.14%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.13%EV -0.751%E -0.206%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -14.00%E -6.67%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-04 17:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -6.63%E -2.91%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.19%E -5.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.19%E -5.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.29%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.69% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.73% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.69% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.73% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |