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Shamrock Rovers v Floriana F.C.
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shamrock Rovers (Local)
Prediction 72.36%1.38fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -11.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.10%72.24%72.47%74.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.271.251.3384.75%79.03%80.00%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Floriana F.C. (Visit)
Prediction 9.75%10.26fair odd
EV +7.20%
Edge +0.654%
Kelly +0.720%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.50%9.97%9.60%11.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.609.709.8011.0013.16%10.31%10.20%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.89%5.59fair odd
EV +2.87%
Edge +0.500%
Kelly +0.605%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.39%17.79%17.94%19.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.295.255.7521.05%18.90%19.05%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-14 18:14 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-14 18:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-14 18:14 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-14 18:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-14 18:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-14 18:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-14 18:14 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-14 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-14 18:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-14 18:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-14 18:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-14 18:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -2.55%E -0.255%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 18:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -8.82%E -7.00%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -2.55%E -0.255%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.47%EV -14.61%E -12.38%K -81.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -2.55%E -0.255%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.74%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-14 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.42%EV -3.52%E -0.356%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.51%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.56%EV -4.50%E -0.459%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.65%E -5.16%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -4.50%E -0.459%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 18:04 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.65%E -5.16%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -4.50%E -0.459%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 18:04 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.83%EV -3.76%E -2.82%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.80%EV -4.99%E -0.511%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.97%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.42%E -0.781%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.98%EV -3.39%E -0.627%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-14 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -7.42%E -0.781%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 9.92%EV -8.88%E -0.950%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 9.92%EV -8.88%E -0.950%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| BetUS | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 9.92%EV -8.88%E -0.950%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-14 18:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.17%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +2.87%E +0.500%K +0.605%G +0.017% | 6.1% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -17.17%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -15.02%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -19.60%E -2.38%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -6.65%E -5.16%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -22.04%E -2.75%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-14 18:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -22.04%E -2.75%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-14 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.31%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.56%EV -25.94%E -3.41%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.12%EV -13.23%E -2.73%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-14 18:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.8% | 2026-07-14 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.8% | 2026-07-14 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-14 18:45 |