A Escola das Odds

Shamrock Rovers v Floriana F.C.

Início: 2026-07-14 19:00 UTC

Final: Shamrock Rovers 5–1 Floriana F.C.

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Previsão 72.36%1.38odd justa
EV -3.76%
Vantagem -2.82%
Kelly -11.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.10%72.24%72.47%74.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.181.271.251.3384.75%79.03%80.00%75.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Floriana F.C. (Visitante)

Previsão 9.75%10.26odd justa
EV +7.20%
Vantagem +0.654%
Kelly +0.720%
Crescimento +0.052%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.50%9.97%9.60%11.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.609.709.8011.0013.16%10.31%10.20%9.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 17.89%5.59odd justa
EV +2.87%
Vantagem +0.500%
Kelly +0.605%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.39%17.79%17.94%19.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.755.295.255.7521.05%18.90%19.05%17.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:15
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 18:14
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 18:14
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-14 18:14
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-14 18:14
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -2.55%E -0.255%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 18:45
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -8.82%E -7.00%K -33.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -2.55%E -0.255%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 18:44
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 74.47%EV -14.61%E -12.38%K -81.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -2.55%E -0.255%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.74%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 18:14
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.42%EV -3.52%E -0.356%K -0.396%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 18:44
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.51%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.56%EV -4.50%E -0.459%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 18:44
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.65%E -5.16%K -22.93%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -4.50%E -0.459%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 18:04
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.65%E -5.16%K -22.93%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -4.50%E -0.459%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 18:04
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.83%EV -3.76%E -2.82%K -11.38%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.80%EV -4.99%E -0.511%K -0.570%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.97%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 18:44
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.42%E -0.781%K -0.873%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.98%EV -3.39%E -0.627%K -0.770%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-14 18:45
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -7.42%E -0.781%K -0.873%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-14 18:44
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 9.92%EV -8.88%E -0.950%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 09:19
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 9.92%EV -8.88%E -0.950%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 09:19
BetUS1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 9.92%EV -8.88%E -0.950%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 09:19
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 16:09
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 18:44
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 18:44
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 18:44
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-14 18:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-14 18:44
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.17%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +2.87%E +0.500%K +0.605%G +0.017%6.1%2026-07-14 18:44
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -17.17%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -15.02%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-14 18:44
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -19.60%E -2.38%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 18:44
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -6.65%E -5.16%K -22.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -22.04%E -2.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-14 18:49
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -22.04%E -2.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-14 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.31%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.56%EV -25.94%E -3.41%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.12%EV -13.23%E -2.73%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 18:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.8%2026-07-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.8%2026-07-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-07-14 18:45