La scuola delle quote

Shamrock Rovers v Floriana F.C.

Inizio: 2026-07-14 19:00 UTC

Finale: Shamrock Rovers 5–1 Floriana F.C.

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Casa)

Previsione 72.36%1.38quota equa
EV -3.76%
Vantaggio -2.82%
Kelly -11.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.10%72.24%72.47%74.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.271.251.3384.75%79.03%80.00%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Floriana F.C. (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.75%10.26quota equa
EV +7.20%
Vantaggio +0.654%
Kelly +0.720%
Crescita +0.052%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.50%9.97%9.60%11.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.609.709.8011.0013.16%10.31%10.20%9.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 17.89%5.59quota equa
EV +2.87%
Vantaggio +0.500%
Kelly +0.605%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.39%17.79%17.94%19.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.295.255.7521.05%18.90%19.05%17.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:15
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 18:14
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 18:14
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-14 18:14
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-14 18:14
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -2.55%E -0.255%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 18:45
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -8.82%E -7.00%K -33.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -2.55%E -0.255%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 18:44
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 74.47%EV -14.61%E -12.38%K -81.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -2.55%E -0.255%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.74%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 18:14
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.42%EV -3.52%E -0.356%K -0.396%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 18:44
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.51%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.56%EV -4.50%E -0.459%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 18:44
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.65%E -5.16%K -22.93%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -4.50%E -0.459%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 18:04
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.65%E -5.16%K -22.93%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -4.50%E -0.459%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 18:04
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.83%EV -3.76%E -2.82%K -11.38%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.80%EV -4.99%E -0.511%K -0.570%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.97%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 18:44
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.42%E -0.781%K -0.873%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.98%EV -3.39%E -0.627%K -0.770%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-14 18:45
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -7.42%E -0.781%K -0.873%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-14 18:44
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 9.92%EV -8.88%E -0.950%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 09:19
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 9.92%EV -8.88%E -0.950%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 09:19
BetUS1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 9.92%EV -8.88%E -0.950%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 09:19
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 16:09
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 18:44
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 18:44
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 18:44
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-14 18:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-14 18:44
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.17%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +2.87%E +0.500%K +0.605%G +0.017%6.1%2026-07-14 18:44
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -17.17%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -15.02%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-14 18:44
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -19.60%E -2.38%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 18:44
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -6.65%E -5.16%K -22.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -22.04%E -2.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-14 18:49
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -22.04%E -2.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-14 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.31%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.56%EV -25.94%E -3.41%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.12%EV -13.23%E -2.73%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 18:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.8%2026-07-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.8%2026-07-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-07-14 18:45