L’École des cotes

Shamrock Rovers v Floriana F.C.

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-14 19:00 UTC

Score final : Shamrock Rovers 5–1 Floriana F.C.

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prévision 72.36%1.38cote équitable
EV -3.76%
Avantage -2.82%
Kelly -11.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.10%72.24%72.47%74.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.271.251.3384.75%79.03%80.00%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Floriana F.C. (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.75%10.26cote équitable
EV +7.20%
Avantage +0.654%
Kelly +0.720%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 11.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.50%9.97%9.60%11.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.609.709.8011.0013.16%10.31%10.20%9.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.89%5.59cote équitable
EV +2.87%
Avantage +0.500%
Kelly +0.605%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.39%17.79%17.94%19.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.295.255.7521.05%18.90%19.05%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:15
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +7.20%E +0.654%K +0.720%G +0.052%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 18:14
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -10.27%E -8.28%K -42.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 18:14
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-14 18:14
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +2.32%E +0.221%K +0.245%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-14 18:14
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -2.55%E -0.255%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 18:45
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -8.82%E -7.00%K -33.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -2.55%E -0.255%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +0.191%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 18:44
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 74.47%EV -14.61%E -12.38%K -81.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -2.55%E -0.255%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.74%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 18:14
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.42%EV -3.52%E -0.356%K -0.396%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 18:44
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.51%EV -5.20%E -3.97%K -16.79%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.56%EV -4.50%E -0.459%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 18:44
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.65%E -5.16%K -22.93%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -4.50%E -0.459%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 18:04
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -6.65%E -5.16%K -22.93%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -4.50%E -0.459%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 18:04
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.83%EV -3.76%E -2.82%K -11.38%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.80%EV -4.99%E -0.511%K -0.570%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.97%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 18:44
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -7.42%E -0.781%K -0.873%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.98%EV -3.39%E -0.627%K -0.770%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-14 18:45
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -7.42%E -0.781%K -0.873%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-14 18:44
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 9.92%EV -8.88%E -0.950%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 09:19
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 9.92%EV -8.88%E -0.950%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 09:19
BetUS1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.37%E -5.76%K -26.34%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 9.92%EV -8.88%E -0.950%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 09:19
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 16:09
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 18:44
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 18:44
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -14.12%E -2.94%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 18:44
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-14 18:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -11.72%E -9.60%K -53.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-14 18:44
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.17%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +2.87%E +0.500%K +0.605%G +0.017%6.1%2026-07-14 18:44
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -17.17%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -15.02%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-14 18:44
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.93%E -4.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -19.60%E -2.38%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -1.60%E -0.291%K -0.355%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 18:44
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -6.65%E -5.16%K -22.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -22.04%E -2.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-14 18:49
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -22.04%E -2.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.54%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-14 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.31%EV -9.55%E -7.64%K -38.18%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.56%EV -25.94%E -3.41%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.12%EV -13.23%E -2.73%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.8%2026-07-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.8%2026-07-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-07-14 18:45