The School of Odds

Shamrock Rovers v FC Ararat-Armenia

2026-07-28 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

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Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prediction 53.10%1.88fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -4.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.90%53.17%53.10%53.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.771.8260%57%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Ararat-Armenia (Visit)

Prediction 23.15%4.32fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.548%
Kelly -0.718%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.01%23.03%23.15%24.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.804.074.104.2226%25%24%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.75%4.21fair odd
EV -4.98%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.91%23.80%23.75%26.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.403.703.584.0029%27%28%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.36%E -1.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 04:21
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.42%E -2.46%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 01:30
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 01:20
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -15.67%E -4.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -15.67%E -4.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -15.67%E -4.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -15.67%E -4.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -15.67%E -4.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -15.67%E -4.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:39
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -15.67%E -4.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -15.67%E -4.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -15.67%E -4.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -15.67%E -4.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:39
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.08%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.26%EV -2.31%E -0.548%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.66%EV -9.50%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 01:40
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -6.55%E -3.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.71%EV -10.21%E -2.70%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 01:09
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 01:20
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 05:05
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -16.86%E -4.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 01:19
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -16.86%E -4.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 01:19
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.61%E -4.37%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -10.88%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 01:20
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 01:30
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -8.67%E -5.04%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -14.49%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 02:00
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -9.20%E -5.38%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 01:28
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.73%E -5.73%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.04%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 01:34
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -9.73%E -5.73%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -19.24%E -5.66%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-24 01:40
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.03%EV -11.33%E -6.78%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -13.30%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-24 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-24 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-24 01:55