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Shamrock Rovers v FC Ararat-Armenia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shamrock Rovers (Local)
Prediction 59.82%1.67fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -7.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.40%59.92%59.90%61.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.541.531.6069.44%65.08%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Ararat-Armenia (Visit)
Prediction 15.95%6.27fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.174%
Kelly +0.207%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 6.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.79%15.90%15.92%17.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.635.506.3419.23%17.76%18.18%15.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.23%4.13fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.419%
Kelly +0.550%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.34%24.18%24.18%26.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.593.934.004.2027.86%25.46%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 59.82%; FC Ararat-Armenia (Visit): 15.95%; Draw: 24.23%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV +1.76%E +0.419%K +0.550%G +0.010% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV +1.76%E +0.419%K +0.550%G +0.010% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.26%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%EV -5.91%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 18:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-28 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -9.10%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -15.48%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -15.48%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.06%EV -5.75%E -0.973%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.85%EV -3.57%E -0.897%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.82%EV -12.06%E -8.20%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 18:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.58%EV -13.25%E -9.14%K -29.45%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.89%EV -17.07%E -3.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.52%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.40%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -13.85%E -9.62%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.94%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -15.48%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-28 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.76%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.36%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -5.91%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.36%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -5.91%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.36%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.37%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 14.79%EV +1.11%E +0.174%K +0.207%G +0.002% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.84%EV -12.05%E -3.32%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-28 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.13%EV -0.967%E -0.156%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.17%EV -13.02%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.13%EV -0.967%E -0.156%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.17%EV -13.02%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
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