La escuela de los momios

Shamrock Rovers v FC Ararat-Armenia

2026-07-28 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Resultado del partido

37 corredores (9 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Predicción 51.34%1.95momio equitativo
EV -4.00%
Ventaja -2.14%
Kelly -4.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.65%51.43%51.15%52.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.791.781.8758.82%55.90%56.18%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Ararat-Armenia (Visitante)

Predicción 23.68%4.22momio equitativo
EV -0.527%
Ventaja -0.125%
Kelly -0.165%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.01%23.69%23.65%25.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.984.004.2027.78%25.12%25.00%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.98%4.00momio equitativo
EV -0.089%
Ventaja -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.04%24.88%25.20%26.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.653.584.0029.41%27.41%27.93%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.33%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.41%EV -2.90%E -0.706%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 14:30
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.02%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -2.59%E -0.663%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 19:05
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.02%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 18:10
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.26%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 17:10
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -3.84%E -0.996%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 19:05
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.90%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 19:00
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.42%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -10.58%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 14:04
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.42%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -10.58%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 14:05
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.56%E -3.61%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 07:50
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.56%E -3.61%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 07:50
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -13.55%E -3.71%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 19:05
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.26%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 16:40
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.26%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.26%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 16:40
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.50%EV -8.10%E -4.53%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.13%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:30
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.50%EV -8.10%E -4.53%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.13%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:39
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:39
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -12.37%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -0.089%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 10:35
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -9.13%E -5.16%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -12.37%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -0.089%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 10:35
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -9.13%E -5.16%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 03:30
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -10.16%E -5.80%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.26%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 07:14
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -10.16%E -5.80%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -2.90%E -0.706%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 01:19
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -10.16%E -5.80%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -2.90%E -0.706%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 01:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -10.16%E -5.80%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -2.59%E -0.663%K -0.892%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 12:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.16%E -5.80%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-24 10:33
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.83%EV -10.67%E -6.13%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.90%EV -12.37%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 20:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.99%EV -11.19%E -6.47%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-24 09:09
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -5.26%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -15.08%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-24 01:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%3.8%2026-07-26 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%3.8%2026-07-26 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%3.8%2026-07-26 18:25