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Shamrock Rovers v FC Ararat-Armenia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shamrock Rovers (Local)
Predicción 59.82%1.67momio equitativo
EV -4.28%
Ventaja -2.68%
Kelly -7.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.40%59.92%59.90%61.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.541.531.6069.44%65.08%65.36%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC Ararat-Armenia (Visitante)
Predicción 15.95%6.27momio equitativo
EV +1.11%
Ventaja +0.174%
Kelly +0.207%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.79%15.90%15.92%17.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.205.635.506.3419.23%17.76%18.18%15.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.23%4.13momio equitativo
EV +1.76%
Ventaja +0.419%
Kelly +0.550%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.34%24.18%24.18%26.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.593.934.004.2027.86%25.46%25.00%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 59.82%; FC Ararat-Armenia (Visitante): 15.95%; Empate: 24.23%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.13. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.76%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV +1.76%E +0.419%K +0.550%G +0.010% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV +1.76%E +0.419%K +0.550%G +0.010% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.26%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%EV -5.91%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 18:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-28 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -9.10%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -15.48%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -15.48%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.06%EV -5.75%E -0.973%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.85%EV -3.57%E -0.897%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.82%EV -12.06%E -8.20%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 18:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.58%EV -13.25%E -9.14%K -29.45%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.89%EV -17.07%E -3.28%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.52%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.40%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -13.85%E -9.62%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.94%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -15.48%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-28 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.76%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.36%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -5.91%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.36%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -5.91%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.36%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.37%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 14.79%EV +1.11%E +0.174%K +0.207%G +0.002% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.84%EV -12.05%E -3.32%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-28 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.13%EV -0.967%E -0.156%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.17%EV -13.02%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.13%EV -0.967%E -0.156%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.17%EV -13.02%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:54 |