L’École des cotes

Shamrock Rovers v FC Ararat-Armenia

2026-07-28 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prévision 51.34%1.95cote équitable
EV -4.00%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -4.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.65%51.43%51.15%52.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.791.781.8758.82%55.90%56.18%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Ararat-Armenia (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.68%4.22cote équitable
EV -0.527%
Avantage -0.125%
Kelly -0.165%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.01%23.69%23.65%25.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.984.004.2027.78%25.12%25.00%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.98%4.00cote équitable
EV -0.089%
Avantage -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.04%24.88%25.20%26.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.653.584.0029.41%27.41%27.93%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.33%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.41%EV -2.90%E -0.706%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 14:30
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.02%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -2.59%E -0.663%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 19:05
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.02%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 18:10
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.26%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 17:10
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -3.84%E -0.996%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 19:05
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.90%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 19:00
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.42%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -10.58%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 14:04
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.42%EV -6.21%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -10.58%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 14:05
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.56%E -3.61%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 07:50
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.56%E -3.61%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.45%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 07:50
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -13.55%E -3.71%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 19:05
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.26%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 16:40
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.26%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.26%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 16:40
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.50%EV -8.10%E -4.53%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.13%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:30
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.50%EV -8.10%E -4.53%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.13%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:39
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:40
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -0.527%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 01:39
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -12.37%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -0.089%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 10:35
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -9.13%E -5.16%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -12.37%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -0.089%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 10:35
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -9.13%E -5.16%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -8.82%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 03:30
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -10.16%E -5.80%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.26%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 07:14
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -10.16%E -5.80%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -2.90%E -0.706%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 01:19
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -10.16%E -5.80%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -2.90%E -0.706%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 01:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -10.16%E -5.80%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -2.59%E -0.663%K -0.892%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 12:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.16%E -5.80%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-24 10:33
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.83%EV -10.67%E -6.13%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.90%EV -12.37%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 20:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.99%EV -11.19%E -6.47%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.74%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-24 09:09
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -5.26%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -15.08%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-24 01:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%3.8%2026-07-26 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%3.8%2026-07-26 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%3.8%2026-07-26 18:25