默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Shamrock Rovers v FC Ararat-Armenia

开赛时间: 2026-07-28 18:58 UTC

最终结果: Shamrock Rovers 2–1 FC Ararat-Armenia

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Shamrock Rovers (主队)

预测 59.82%1.67公平赔率
EV -4.28%
优势 -2.68%
Kelly -7.13%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
58.40%59.92%59.90%61.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.541.531.6069.44%65.08%65.36%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Ararat-Armenia (客队)

预测 15.95%6.27公平赔率
EV +1.11%
优势 +0.174%
Kelly +0.207%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 6.34

博彩公司预测分布
14.79%15.90%15.92%17.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.205.635.506.3419.23%17.76%18.18%15.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.23%4.13公平赔率
EV +1.76%
优势 +0.419%
Kelly +0.550%
增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
22.34%24.18%24.18%26.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.593.934.004.2027.86%25.46%25.00%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Shamrock Rovers (主队):59.82%;FC Ararat-Armenia (客队):15.95%;平局:24.23%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.13。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.20,对应+1.76%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV +1.76%E +0.419%K +0.550%G +0.010%5.7%2026-07-28 18:49
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV +1.76%E +0.419%K +0.550%G +0.010%6.6%2026-07-28 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.26%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%EV -5.91%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 18:44
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 18:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 18:54
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 18:54
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 18:54
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 18:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 18:54
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -13.88%E -2.57%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -0.664%E -0.162%K -0.214%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 18:54
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 18:55
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 18:49
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-28 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-28 18:44
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -9.10%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-28 18:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -15.48%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-28 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -15.48%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -3.09%E -0.772%K -1.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-28 18:54
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.06%EV -5.75%E -0.973%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.85%EV -3.57%E -0.897%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.82%EV -12.06%E -8.20%K -25.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 18:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.58%EV -13.25%E -9.14%K -29.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.89%EV -17.07%E -3.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.52%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-28 18:54
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.40%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -4.32%E -0.719%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 18:44
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-28 18:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-28 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.30%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-28 18:44
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-28 18:54
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -13.85%E -9.62%K -31.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-28 18:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.94%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -15.48%E -2.92%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-28 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.76%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -1.13%E -0.182%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.36%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 18:54
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -5.91%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.36%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -5.91%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.36%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 18:44
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.37%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 14.79%EV +1.11%E +0.174%K +0.207%G +0.002%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.84%EV -12.05%E -3.32%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -12.29%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-28 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.13%EV -0.967%E -0.156%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.17%EV -13.02%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.13%EV -0.967%E -0.156%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.17%EV -13.02%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 18:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-07-28 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-07-28 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-07-28 18:54