Language:English
Red Star Belgrade v Larne FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Red Star Belgrade (Local)
Prediction 89.12%1.12fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -4.34%
Kelly -66.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.10%89.19%88.99%90.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.051.051.0798.04%95.34%95.24%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Larne FC (Visit)
Prediction 3.50%28.54fair odd
EV +19.12%
Edge +0.562%
Kelly +0.579%
Growth +0.111%
assuming max odds 34.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.74%3.45%3.57%4.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
19.0027.2129.0034.005.26%3.68%3.45%2.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 7.38%13.55fair odd
EV +10.67%
Edge +0.711%
Kelly +0.762%
Growth +0.081%
assuming max odds 15.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.25%7.36%7.44%9.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0012.5113.0015.0010.00%7.99%7.69%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Red Star Belgrade (Local): 89.12%; Larne FC (Visit): 3.50%; Draw: 7.38%. For Larne FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 28.54. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 34.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.78%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.74%EV +19.12%E +0.562%K +0.579%G +0.111% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -18.84%E -1.71%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 17:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.09%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.12%EV +5.11%E +0.170%K +0.176%G +0.009% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.90%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.90%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.90%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.53%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.45%EV -8.21%E -7.97%K -273.60%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.18%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV -7.78%E -0.622%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.27%EV -9.10%E -8.92%K -454.95%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.14%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.27%EV -9.10%E -8.92%K -454.95%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.14%EV +1.60%E +0.055%K +0.057%G +0.001% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.81%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.32%EV -1.90%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -22.53%E -2.15%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.01%EV -4.64%E -4.34%K -66.33%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.66%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.65%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.78%EV +3.29%E +0.235%K +0.253%G +0.008% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.17%EV -4.64%E -4.34%K -66.33%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -15.15%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.32%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 7.08%EV -2.24%E -0.169%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.14%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +10.67%E +0.711%K +0.762%G +0.081% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.14%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +10.67%E +0.711%K +0.762%G +0.081% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.19%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 18:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.94%EV -5.53%E -5.22%K -92.24%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.59%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -18.84%E -1.71%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.10%EV -4.64%E -4.34%K -66.33%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -26.22%E -2.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV -8.91%E -0.343%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 17:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.13%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV -19.42%E -0.844%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 13.75I 7.27%NM 6.81%EV +1.45%E +0.105%K +0.113%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.78%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV -19.42%E -0.844%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -4.09%E -0.314%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.63%EV -6.43%E -6.12%K -128.51%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00%EV -19.42%E -0.844%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -18.84%E -1.71%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.01%EV -7.32%E -7.04%K -182.92%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.36%EV -26.43%E -1.26%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-27 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.72%EV -8.21%E -7.97%K -273.60%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.76%EV -33.43%E -1.76%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -11.47%E -0.955%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.52% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.50% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.44% | 48.00I 2.08%NM 2.06% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.44% | 48.00I 2.08%NM 2.06% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
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